Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-07-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-07-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74928 9169 128 96 0 0 0 0
OW 43 1067 311 439 27 0 0 0
VODI 0 181 156 1234 342 10 0 0
ODI 0 10 29 521 1588 298 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 53 1342 6879 57 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1503 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76059 8230 149 42 0 0 0 0
OW 47 1071 274 478 31 0 0 0
VODI 0 264 187 1141 435 13 0 0
ODI 0 27 44 474 1396 376 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 72 1381 6320 735 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 550 618 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76213 8568 55 11 0 0 0 0
OW 15 1219 457 385 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 102 162 1607 367 5 0 0
ODI 0 6 0 263 1894 224 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 705 7382 222 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 536 15 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77224 7164 32 19 0 0 0 0
OW 31 1714 314 367 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 369 303 1479 306 3 0 0
ODI 0 1 3 510 1888 294 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 966 7299 22 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 99 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77225 7303 31 31 0 0 0 0
OW 30 1540 293 351 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 403 324 1438 278 1 0 0
ODI 0 2 4 555 2039 257 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 846 7180 21 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 257 1 0

Date: 2024-07-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77587 7005 31 22 0 0 0 0
OW 47 1971 333 372 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 565 318 1113 254 2 0 0
ODI 0 9 18 798 1567 203 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 28 729 7261 156 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 17 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77588 7171 40 31 0 0 0 0
OW 46 1766 303 369 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 607 335 1084 246 1 0 0
ODI 0 6 22 820 1731 125 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 29 570 7240 154 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 117 2 0

Date: 2024-07-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78076 7372 35 32 0 0 0 0
OW 8 1959 491 327 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 33 74 1866 249 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 195 1883 59 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 169 7046 152 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 91 298 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78059 6684 23 33 0 0 0 0
OW 25 2032 243 411 23 0 0 0
VODI 0 630 307 991 237 6 0 0
ODI 0 18 27 935 1570 203 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 50 471 6986 451 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0

Date: 2024-07-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78824 6922 46 37 0 0 0 0
OW 41 1749 320 325 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 282 203 1509 401 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 255 1563 144 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 222 6262 964 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 53 281 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78629 6004 16 11 0 0 0 0
OW 236 2047 244 411 31 0 0 0
VODI 0 784 247 924 298 11 0 0
ODI 0 117 57 707 1530 173 0 0
CDI 0 1 6 73 330 6206 1159 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 73 91 0

Date: 2024-07-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80009 6227 49 7 0 0 0 0
OW 6 1580 300 253 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 347 202 1398 524 4 0 0
ODI 0 4 3 360 1249 61 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 335 6889 169 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 422 8 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79735 5222 33 18 0 0 0 0
OW 280 2041 228 309 42 0 0 0
VODI 0 797 232 855 327 17 0 0
ODI 0 88 54 777 1226 155 0 0
CDI 0 10 7 59 523 6493 177 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 711 0 0


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