Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-07-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-07-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 172 2606 95 124 31 0 0 0
OW 0 1333 360 570 98 2 0 0
VODI 0 187 213 2648 1111 6 0 0
ODI 0 13 36 603 3053 226 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 678 3160 9516 625 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 1090 3324 1196 19
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 207 2964 111 123 24 2 0 0
OW 0 1557 394 592 73 0 0 0
VODI 0 212 215 2514 1116 4 0 0
ODI 0 55 29 568 2578 363 0 0
CDI 0 4 9 936 2775 9093 33 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 970 5333 237 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 350 4179 81 104 17 2 0 0
OW 1 1310 538 528 26 0 0 0
VODI 0 140 238 3606 473 6 0 0
ODI 0 6 6 991 3975 74 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 206 4082 9257 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 22 336 2466 76 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 449 4546 94 44 5 1 0 0
OW 0 1664 517 475 34 0 0 0
VODI 0 282 285 3261 695 0 0 0
ODI 0 41 36 945 3613 520 0 0
CDI 0 17 6 390 2996 9618 5 0
VCDI 0 0 0 21 514 2022 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 448 4638 106 53 6 1 0 0
OW 1 1579 535 543 42 0 0 0
VODI 0 272 256 3064 728 1 0 0
ODI 0 50 36 1066 3564 562 0 0
CDI 0 11 5 387 2987 9166 1 0
VCDI 0 0 0 23 530 2431 4 0

Date: 2024-07-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 543 4518 79 58 5 0 0 0
OW 0 2057 450 474 23 0 0 0
VODI 0 671 391 2834 728 0 0 0
ODI 0 90 108 1159 3353 292 0 0
CDI 0 49 22 520 2864 10292 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 44 194 1278 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 543 4681 95 56 5 0 0 0
OW 0 1894 450 591 27 0 0 0
VODI 0 674 380 2674 835 6 0 0
ODI 0 95 110 1207 3164 451 0 0
CDI 0 40 15 473 2853 10056 0 0
VCDI 0 1 0 88 283 1349 0 0

Date: 2024-07-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1136 5553 42 22 2 0 0 0
OW 7 2817 901 498 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 121 81 3038 518 0 0 0
ODI 0 38 7 430 4739 159 0 0
CDI 0 42 10 155 1617 11094 55 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 7 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1115 4639 39 29 2 0 0 0
OW 28 2414 379 488 44 0 0 0
VODI 0 1169 458 1994 822 0 0 0
ODI 0 290 128 1057 2839 453 0 0
CDI 0 59 37 548 2826 9274 55 0
VCDI 0 0 0 27 350 1533 0 0

Date: 2024-07-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1845 5405 27 9 2 0 0 0
OW 170 3151 482 305 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 315 269 2664 697 0 0 0
ODI 0 51 24 516 3792 1892 0 0
CDI 0 65 7 166 2376 8858 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1745 4206 31 26 2 0 0 0
OW 260 2758 319 501 42 0 0 0
VODI 10 1444 261 1708 884 14 0 0
ODI 0 460 136 900 2514 1409 0 0
CDI 0 119 62 515 3190 8749 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 10 243 578 0 0

Date: 2024-07-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2927 4934 18 12 0 0 0 0
OW 297 2569 456 376 11 0 0 0
VODI 4 480 264 2479 1057 0 0 0
ODI 0 146 27 593 3853 2751 0 0
CDI 0 86 17 105 2476 7142 16 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2383 3713 34 21 0 0 0 0
OW 725 2436 367 624 54 0 0 0
VODI 120 1271 210 1553 985 25 0 0
ODI 0 549 93 914 2604 1820 0 0
CDI 0 246 78 453 3122 7776 16 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 632 272 0 0


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