Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-07-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-07-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17977 3977 53 43 13 0 0 0
OW 179 2159 213 352 122 10 0 0
VODI 22 311 241 1694 942 42 0 0
ODI 1 44 10 547 3902 396 0 0
CDI 33 13 1 78 4152 8271 0 0
VCDI 16 0 0 36 907 12600 1872 2
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18299 4166 33 33 17 0 0 0
OW 93 2086 220 493 153 3 0 0
VODI 13 321 255 1470 1122 79 0 0
ODI 11 34 20 515 3840 490 0 0
CDI 36 8 4 125 4300 7885 7 0
VCDI 17 0 0 63 433 13117 1470 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18891 4975 28 40 23 0 0 0
OW 46 1525 468 435 76 0 0 0
VODI 19 56 56 1792 650 13 0 0
ODI 14 15 7 265 5907 601 0 0
CDI 26 1 4 66 3099 13518 372 0
VCDI 5 0 0 34 282 6640 1282 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19213 5006 39 38 40 0 0 0
OW 43 1509 349 572 77 0 0 0
VODI 21 103 132 1853 897 7 0 0
ODI 14 21 0 278 4359 1753 0 0
CDI 24 7 4 61 795 15836 55 0
VCDI 2 3 2 41 385 7692 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19208 5100 54 44 44 0 0 0
OW 48 1412 301 582 81 0 0 0
VODI 17 106 165 1711 835 10 0 0
ODI 13 23 0 402 4256 2022 0 0
CDI 19 5 4 59 960 15418 45 0
VCDI 12 3 2 45 377 7838 10 0

Date: 2024-07-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19244 5405 46 75 49 0 0 0
OW 28 1519 347 575 114 1 0 0
VODI 27 196 183 1879 1137 13 0 0
ODI 13 35 5 368 4248 150 0 0
CDI 23 45 3 17 3713 17858 346 0
VCDI 0 19 3 42 435 3024 46 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19242 5490 75 114 52 0 0 0
OW 31 1406 283 540 122 1 0 0
VODI 24 216 216 1699 1221 16 0 0
ODI 9 42 7 537 4018 270 0 0
CDI 24 45 3 28 3845 17271 352 0
VCDI 5 20 3 38 438 3488 40 0

Date: 2024-07-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19573 6382 69 90 4 0 0 0
OW 41 1142 537 513 48 0 0 0
VODI 4 39 12 2139 589 0 0 0
ODI 4 14 0 71 5703 150 0 0
CDI 10 61 4 85 1391 19668 215 0
VCDI 0 0 1 25 708 1182 757 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19527 5698 84 115 37 0 0 0
OW 43 1476 267 464 115 3 0 0
VODI 28 350 261 1805 1647 40 0 0
ODI 13 35 6 425 3095 231 0 0
CDI 18 60 2 14 2819 17702 678 0
VCDI 3 19 3 100 730 3024 294 0

Date: 2024-07-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20109 6101 55 58 7 0 0 0
OW 45 1446 298 476 53 0 0 0
VODI 3 160 173 2033 961 6 0 0
ODI 3 10 1 307 4656 104 0 0
CDI 10 65 7 107 4778 15603 1202 0
VCDI 0 0 1 40 245 1904 204 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20069 5403 77 95 53 0 0 0
OW 48 1608 169 482 108 0 0 0
VODI 30 667 266 1704 1970 12 0 0
ODI 10 21 15 571 2506 159 0 0
CDI 13 61 0 27 5615 14523 1227 0
VCDI 0 22 8 142 448 2923 179 0

Date: 2024-07-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20391 6145 60 11 0 0 0 0
OW 7 1471 326 486 45 5 0 0
VODI 5 218 210 2613 1027 18 0 0
ODI 2 6 0 663 3781 101 0 0
CDI 8 83 5 118 5479 14913 311 0
VCDI 0 2 1 4 941 1587 188 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20323 5282 66 66 4 0 0 0
OW 47 1694 185 543 136 11 0 0
VODI 27 799 290 2165 1253 66 0 0
ODI 3 53 55 963 2210 125 0 0
CDI 13 44 0 71 6468 14308 132 0
VCDI 0 53 6 87 1202 2114 367 0


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