Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-07-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-07-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93077 15752 276 263 44 0 0 0
OW 222 4559 884 1361 247 12 0 0
VODI 22 679 610 5576 2395 58 0 0
ODI 1 67 75 1671 8543 920 5 0
CDI 33 13 1 809 8654 24666 682 0
VCDI 16 0 0 37 1997 17427 3068 21
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94565 15360 293 198 41 2 0 0
OW 140 4714 888 1563 257 3 0 0
VODI 13 797 657 5125 2673 96 0 0
ODI 11 116 93 1557 7814 1229 2 0
CDI 36 12 13 1133 8456 23298 775 0
VCDI 17 0 0 68 1403 19000 2325 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95454 17722 164 155 40 2 0 0
OW 62 4054 1463 1348 103 0 0 0
VODI 19 298 456 7005 1490 24 0 0
ODI 14 27 13 1519 11776 899 1 0
CDI 26 1 4 273 7886 30157 594 0
VCDI 5 0 0 56 618 9642 1373 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96886 16716 165 101 45 1 0 0
OW 74 4887 1180 1414 117 0 0 0
VODI 21 754 720 6593 1898 10 0 0
ODI 14 63 39 1733 9860 2567 0 0
CDI 24 24 10 454 4757 32753 82 0
VCDI 2 3 2 62 899 9813 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96881 17041 191 128 50 1 0 0
OW 79 4531 1129 1476 126 0 0 0
VODI 17 781 745 6213 1841 12 0 0
ODI 13 75 40 2023 9859 2841 0 0
CDI 19 16 9 449 4793 31764 67 0
VCDI 12 3 2 68 907 10526 15 0

Date: 2024-07-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 97374 16928 156 155 54 0 0 0
OW 75 5547 1130 1421 147 1 0 0
VODI 27 1432 892 5826 2119 15 0 0
ODI 13 134 131 2325 9168 645 0 0
CDI 23 94 25 565 7306 35411 502 0
VCDI 0 19 3 86 629 4319 46 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 97373 17342 210 201 57 0 0 0
OW 77 5066 1036 1500 162 1 0 0
VODI 24 1497 931 5457 2302 23 0 0
ODI 9 143 139 2564 8913 846 0 0
CDI 24 85 18 530 7268 34567 506 0
VCDI 5 21 3 126 721 4954 42 0

Date: 2024-07-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 98785 19307 146 144 6 0 0 0
OW 56 5918 1929 1338 55 0 0 0
VODI 4 193 167 7043 1356 0 0 0
ODI 4 52 7 696 12325 368 1 0
CDI 10 103 14 240 3177 37808 422 0
VCDI 0 0 1 25 708 1280 1055 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 98701 17021 146 177 39 0 0 0
OW 96 5922 889 1363 182 3 0 0
VODI 28 2149 1026 4790 2706 46 0 0
ODI 13 343 161 2417 7504 887 0 0
CDI 18 119 39 612 6116 33962 1184 0
VCDI 3 19 3 127 1080 4558 294 0

Date: 2024-07-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 100778 18428 128 104 9 0 0 0
OW 256 6346 1100 1106 64 0 0 0
VODI 3 757 645 6206 2059 10 0 0
ODI 3 61 26 1078 10011 2140 5 0
CDI 10 130 14 273 7376 30723 2166 0
VCDI 0 0 1 40 245 1957 485 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 100443 15613 124 132 55 0 0 0
OW 544 6413 732 1394 181 0 0 0
VODI 40 2895 774 4336 3152 37 0 0
ODI 10 598 208 2178 6550 1741 0 0
CDI 13 181 68 615 9135 29478 2386 0
VCDI 0 22 8 152 691 3574 270 0

Date: 2024-07-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 103327 17306 127 30 0 0 0 0
OW 310 5620 1082 1115 66 5 0 0
VODI 9 1045 676 6490 2608 22 0 0
ODI 2 156 30 1616 8883 2913 0 0
CDI 8 169 22 223 8290 28944 496 0
VCDI 0 2 1 4 941 2009 196 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 102441 14217 133 105 4 0 0 0
OW 1052 6171 780 1476 232 11 0 0
VODI 147 2867 732 4573 2565 108 0 0
ODI 3 690 202 2654 6040 2100 0 0
CDI 13 300 85 583 10113 28577 325 0
VCDI 0 53 6 87 1834 3097 367 0


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