Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-06-27

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-06-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68791 12945 141 146 3 0 0 0
OW 16 1658 441 686 59 0 0 0
VODI 0 179 198 1098 375 2 1 0
ODI 0 17 5 275 804 59 6 0
CDI 0 8 9 110 1500 2289 819 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 62 1965 4671 1078
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69683 12520 152 155 4 0 0 0
OW 0 1654 364 636 56 0 0 0
VODI 0 239 156 819 434 11 1 0
ODI 0 20 20 284 629 127 4 0
CDI 0 12 12 211 1732 2628 721 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 520 2811 3631 169
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70423 12789 228 194 2 0 0 0
OW 2 1165 403 538 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 43 97 1009 326 3 1 0
ODI 0 1 4 228 1099 72 1 0
CDI 0 0 5 96 1505 5211 574 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 8 1534 2843 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71332 11942 230 157 0 0 0 0
OW 12 1150 290 600 29 0 0 0
VODI 1 121 126 763 467 3 1 0
ODI 0 0 17 321 930 165 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 154 1239 5910 1669 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 8 1275 1500 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71334 11934 238 185 0 0 0 0
OW 10 1128 270 575 34 0 0 0
VODI 1 148 128 758 453 3 1 0
ODI 0 3 27 321 974 150 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 156 1202 5668 1609 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 10 1532 1562 0

Date: 2024-06-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71501 11427 172 103 0 0 0 0
OW 10 1223 288 562 23 0 0 0
VODI 0 221 176 877 537 5 1 0
ODI 0 15 38 414 1010 179 5 0
CDI 0 1 7 211 1372 6560 1510 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1017 951 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71492 11429 184 139 0 0 0 0
OW 19 1209 272 550 30 0 0 0
VODI 0 221 172 843 466 9 1 0
ODI 0 28 47 438 1157 198 3 0
CDI 0 0 6 197 1282 6209 1412 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 7 1345 1051 0

Date: 2024-07-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72766 10693 156 68 0 0 0 0
OW 2 1114 414 421 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 89 1504 433 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 4 284 2418 201 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 773 6741 245 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 754 1309 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72752 10164 152 78 0 0 0 0
OW 16 1290 248 533 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 316 178 891 484 5 0 0
ODI 0 49 74 513 1237 160 4 0
CDI 0 2 11 262 1879 5699 793 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 21 1836 757 0

Date: 2024-07-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74199 9502 110 89 0 0 0 0
OW 25 1159 325 480 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 82 149 1275 467 9 0 0
ODI 0 2 3 365 1974 362 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 1303 6742 43 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1726 9 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74162 9036 100 113 0 0 0 0
OW 62 1214 246 504 44 0 0 0
VODI 0 403 134 861 407 19 0 0
ODI 0 88 98 396 1185 216 3 0
CDI 0 4 9 337 2101 6065 48 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 21 2539 1 0

Date: 2024-07-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74928 9169 128 96 0 0 0 0
OW 43 1067 311 439 27 0 0 0
VODI 0 181 156 1234 342 10 0 0
ODI 0 10 29 521 1588 298 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 53 1342 6879 57 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1503 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74910 8704 114 90 0 0 0 0
OW 61 1120 242 483 58 0 0 0
VODI 0 393 146 916 360 15 0 0
ODI 0 183 72 397 936 255 14 0
CDI 0 27 50 457 1899 5415 48 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 46 3005 0 0


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