Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-06-27

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-06-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 448 43 104 49 27 0 0
OW 0 702 181 174 79 58 0 0
VODI 0 168 141 960 376 157 1 0
ODI 0 11 27 470 2071 398 10 0
CDI 0 21 6 160 2562 4901 173 8
VCDI 0 0 0 6 854 10607 4441 2552
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 571 39 73 74 13 0 0
OW 0 787 156 222 117 59 0 0
VODI 0 285 196 911 500 105 3 0
ODI 0 43 43 503 2037 298 11 0
CDI 0 37 3 196 2873 4352 185 0
VCDI 0 0 0 56 1487 11369 4182 1160
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 847 51 69 68 13 0 0
OW 0 820 323 297 93 19 0 0
VODI 0 71 100 1422 470 61 0 0
ODI 0 4 1 366 3865 373 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 133 1779 7930 164 0
VCDI 0 0 0 13 1225 8325 3886 155
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 899 64 127 20 28 0 0
OW 0 861 277 457 92 47 0 0
VODI 0 91 129 1368 658 80 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 629 3321 295 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 114 2190 8171 583 0
VCDI 0 0 0 20 1113 8715 2594 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 1010 67 127 32 29 0 0
OW 0 759 258 483 110 42 0 0
VODI 0 82 145 1305 722 89 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 668 3038 247 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 121 2621 8346 451 0
VCDI 0 0 0 11 871 8583 2726 0

Date: 2024-06-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 153 1079 85 150 50 0 0 0
OW 0 906 259 660 150 2 0 0
VODI 0 177 121 1410 774 11 0 0
ODI 0 4 19 749 3046 183 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 275 2361 9361 602 0
VCDI 0 0 0 67 2212 7787 443 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 153 1168 107 190 61 2 0 0
OW 0 809 223 684 144 0 0 0
VODI 0 186 139 1281 842 6 0 0
ODI 0 3 15 806 2714 180 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 337 2940 9150 454 0
VCDI 0 0 0 13 1892 8006 591 0

Date: 2024-07-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 167 1898 118 176 47 0 0 0
OW 0 1106 526 450 83 2 0 0
VODI 0 21 56 2481 742 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 431 4340 224 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 278 2329 12242 100 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 1264 3417 593 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 167 1319 143 234 65 2 0 0
OW 0 1297 241 409 160 0 0 0
VODI 0 326 256 1381 918 4 0 0
ODI 0 77 52 1029 2157 221 0 0
CDI 0 6 9 628 3128 8023 106 0
VCDI 0 0 0 139 2377 7635 587 0

Date: 2024-07-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 162 2300 123 141 42 0 0 0
OW 0 1198 398 539 97 2 0 0
VODI 0 99 165 2665 1013 0 0 0
ODI 0 4 10 492 3459 333 0 0
CDI 0 1 1 386 2547 11415 337 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 973 3690 502 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 162 1570 167 205 56 2 0 0
OW 0 1369 201 483 172 0 0 0
VODI 0 522 240 1530 871 10 0 0
ODI 0 105 61 1114 1955 366 0 0
CDI 0 35 25 854 3278 7921 56 0
VCDI 0 1 3 39 1799 7141 783 0

Date: 2024-07-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 172 2606 95 124 31 0 0 0
OW 0 1333 360 570 98 2 0 0
VODI 0 187 213 2648 1111 6 0 0
ODI 0 13 36 603 3053 226 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 678 3160 9516 625 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 1090 3324 1196 19
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 172 1819 141 182 32 2 0 0
OW 0 1334 186 511 170 0 0 0
VODI 0 784 222 1462 787 23 0 0
ODI 0 172 135 1178 1726 576 0 0
CDI 0 30 20 1177 4085 7222 254 0
VCDI 0 0 0 114 1743 5251 1567 19


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