Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-06-27

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-06-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15061 3738 28 73 6 0 0 0
OW 12 1654 245 393 61 10 1 0
VODI 5 590 130 905 623 60 5 0
ODI 2 223 53 595 1022 309 35 0
CDI 1 62 20 292 2074 5398 844 0
VCDI 0 0 4 175 2019 16092 6868 1543
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15801 3158 28 68 2 1 0 0
OW 45 1582 234 402 50 22 0 0
VODI 6 631 137 954 539 101 0 0
ODI 1 280 86 559 945 422 25 0
CDI 1 68 24 491 2278 4447 828 0
VCDI 0 4 6 106 2002 16654 6847 1396
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16442 3582 47 58 1 2 0 0
OW 61 1610 370 380 31 11 0 0
VODI 22 187 151 1580 372 51 0 0
ODI 1 27 14 577 1810 334 5 0
CDI 1 7 3 107 1380 7556 600 0
VCDI 0 15 2 42 1756 16086 5945 5
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16357 4092 58 25 2 1 0 0
OW 17 1573 346 391 37 14 0 0
VODI 10 347 174 1277 521 69 0 0
ODI 2 39 40 957 1800 617 0 0
CDI 0 15 4 240 2244 5303 149 0
VCDI 0 13 0 42 1627 20997 1825 6
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16365 4245 74 33 3 1 0 0
OW 9 1419 314 427 38 14 0 0
VODI 9 344 196 1252 500 83 0 0
ODI 2 42 34 940 1851 657 1 0
CDI 1 9 3 234 2171 5313 170 0
VCDI 0 20 1 46 1668 20933 1803 6

Date: 2024-06-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16437 4320 61 34 4 0 0 0
OW 23 1635 282 371 30 18 0 0
VODI 13 470 181 1225 439 50 0 0
ODI 3 71 91 1055 1871 752 0 0
CDI 0 34 2 229 3419 3957 17 0
VCDI 0 17 1 40 1434 21820 822 3
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16442 4476 76 56 7 0 0 0
OW 16 1489 270 387 35 16 0 0
VODI 14 469 189 1204 440 68 0 0
ODI 4 59 80 1008 1862 741 0 0
CDI 0 25 1 256 3414 4039 6 0
VCDI 0 29 2 43 1439 21733 833 3

Date: 2024-07-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16549 4958 61 34 3 0 0 0
OW 10 1981 473 334 30 0 0 0
VODI 13 110 80 2100 477 4 0 0
ODI 2 8 1 253 3824 406 0 0
CDI 36 0 0 75 1635 10469 69 0
VCDI 14 0 0 20 1370 14760 1070 2
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16551 4428 51 27 16 0 0 0
OW 11 1564 261 368 110 1 0 0
VODI 8 664 167 1178 603 89 0 0
ODI 4 396 133 880 1683 376 0 0
CDI 3 5 3 339 3198 5017 60 0
VCDI 47 0 0 24 1729 20156 1079 2

Date: 2024-07-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17046 4678 47 52 3 0 0 0
OW 67 2027 254 360 111 5 0 0
VODI 9 245 161 1882 820 47 0 0
ODI 1 27 1 376 3566 455 0 0
CDI 32 12 3 89 4244 7022 200 0
VCDI 17 0 0 40 1505 14003 1822 2
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17001 4132 37 25 50 1 0 0
OW 109 1562 185 450 149 16 0 0
VODI 10 827 128 1165 971 223 0 0
ODI 2 454 109 721 1415 307 0 0
CDI 3 14 7 390 4765 2765 7 0
VCDI 47 0 0 48 2899 18220 2015 2

Date: 2024-07-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17977 3977 53 43 13 0 0 0
OW 179 2159 213 352 122 10 0 0
VODI 22 311 241 1694 942 42 0 0
ODI 1 44 10 547 3902 396 0 0
CDI 33 13 1 78 4152 8271 0 0
VCDI 16 0 0 36 907 12600 1872 2
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17846 3433 38 54 55 6 0 0
OW 308 1549 158 313 157 24 0 0
VODI 22 1158 180 1164 922 115 0 0
ODI 2 338 124 738 1524 253 0 0
CDI 7 26 18 445 5926 5051 0 0
VCDI 43 0 0 36 1454 15870 1872 2


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