Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-06-27

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-06-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84002 17131 212 323 58 27 0 0
OW 28 4014 867 1253 199 68 1 0
VODI 5 937 469 2963 1374 219 7 0
ODI 2 251 85 1340 3897 766 51 0
CDI 1 91 35 562 6136 12588 1836 8
VCDI 0 0 4 181 2935 28664 15980 5173
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85634 16249 219 296 80 14 0 0
OW 45 4023 754 1260 223 81 0 0
VODI 6 1155 489 2684 1473 217 4 0
ODI 1 343 149 1346 3611 847 40 0
CDI 1 117 39 898 6883 11427 1734 0
VCDI 0 4 6 163 4009 30834 14660 2725
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87015 17218 326 321 71 15 0 0
OW 63 3595 1096 1215 136 30 0 0
VODI 22 301 348 4011 1168 115 1 0
ODI 1 32 19 1171 6774 779 9 0
CDI 1 7 8 336 4664 20697 1338 0
VCDI 0 15 2 55 2989 25945 12674 160
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87839 16933 352 309 22 29 0 0
OW 29 3584 913 1448 158 61 0 0
VODI 11 559 429 3408 1646 152 1 0
ODI 2 39 60 1907 6051 1077 4 0
CDI 0 15 4 508 5673 19384 2401 0
VCDI 0 13 0 62 2748 30987 5919 6
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87849 17189 379 345 35 30 0 0
OW 19 3306 842 1485 182 56 0 0
VODI 10 574 469 3315 1675 175 1 0
ODI 2 45 64 1929 5863 1054 3 0
CDI 1 9 3 511 5994 19327 2230 0
VCDI 0 20 1 57 2549 31048 6091 6

Date: 2024-06-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88091 16826 318 287 54 0 0 0
OW 33 3764 829 1593 203 20 0 0
VODI 13 868 478 3512 1750 66 1 0
ODI 3 90 148 2218 5927 1114 5 0
CDI 0 35 9 715 7152 19878 2129 0
VCDI 0 17 1 107 3646 30624 2216 3
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88087 17073 367 385 68 2 0 0
OW 35 3507 765 1621 209 16 0 0
VODI 14 876 500 3328 1748 83 1 0
ODI 4 90 142 2252 5733 1119 3 0
CDI 0 25 7 790 7636 19398 1872 0
VCDI 0 29 2 56 3338 31084 2475 3

Date: 2024-07-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89482 17549 335 278 50 0 0 0
OW 12 4201 1413 1205 122 2 0 0
VODI 13 145 225 6085 1652 8 0 0
ODI 2 8 6 968 10582 831 0 0
CDI 36 0 0 353 4737 29452 414 0
VCDI 14 0 0 24 2634 18931 2972 2
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89470 15911 346 339 81 2 0 0
OW 27 4151 750 1310 282 1 0 0
VODI 8 1306 601 3450 2005 98 0 0
ODI 4 522 259 2422 5077 757 4 0
CDI 3 13 23 1229 8205 18739 959 0
VCDI 47 0 0 163 4127 29627 2423 2

Date: 2024-07-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91407 16480 280 282 45 0 0 0
OW 92 4384 977 1379 222 7 0 0
VODI 9 426 475 5822 2300 56 0 0
ODI 1 33 14 1233 8999 1150 0 0
CDI 32 13 4 477 8094 25179 580 0
VCDI 17 0 0 42 2478 19419 2333 2
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91325 14738 304 343 106 3 0 0
OW 171 4145 632 1437 365 16 0 0
VODI 10 1752 502 3556 2249 252 0 0
ODI 2 647 268 2231 4555 889 3 0
CDI 3 53 41 1581 10144 16751 111 0
VCDI 47 1 3 87 4719 27900 2799 2

Date: 2024-07-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93077 15752 276 263 44 0 0 0
OW 222 4559 884 1361 247 12 0 0
VODI 22 679 610 5576 2395 58 0 0
ODI 1 67 75 1671 8543 920 5 0
CDI 33 13 1 809 8654 24666 682 0
VCDI 16 0 0 37 1997 17427 3068 21
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92928 13956 293 326 87 8 0 0
OW 369 4003 586 1307 385 24 0 0
VODI 22 2335 548 3542 2069 153 0 0
ODI 2 693 331 2313 4186 1084 14 0
CDI 7 83 88 2079 11910 17688 302 0
VCDI 43 0 0 150 3243 24126 3439 21


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