Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-06-20

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-06-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 166 21 49 31 14 0 0
OW 0 246 128 268 44 35 0 0
VODI 0 194 106 724 282 104 2 0
ODI 0 25 35 403 1190 568 17 0
CDI 0 0 3 258 1930 3968 762 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 281 4160 9013 7917
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 199 11 68 45 0 0 0
OW 0 213 127 272 84 2 0 0
VODI 0 239 141 729 406 63 1 0
ODI 0 43 34 480 1453 700 16 0
CDI 0 5 2 217 2108 3589 979 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 977 5037 7292 7414
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 322 28 72 54 1 0 0
OW 0 541 258 248 76 13 0 0
VODI 0 46 79 1117 409 67 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 311 2546 417 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 81 2012 4355 541 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1119 8748 5044 4435
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 372 54 96 52 9 0 0
OW 0 696 194 171 73 44 0 0
VODI 0 117 139 1015 385 119 1 0
ODI 0 2 5 488 2074 596 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 169 2161 5069 168 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 974 10768 4260 2666
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 426 54 87 48 10 0 0
OW 0 647 209 204 80 37 0 0
VODI 0 112 123 995 354 119 2 0
ODI 0 2 6 487 2047 592 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 166 2207 5076 261 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 983 10771 4168 2666

Date: 2024-06-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 548 46 76 57 25 0 0
OW 0 749 133 220 93 68 0 0
VODI 0 248 157 928 391 145 0 0
ODI 0 37 32 468 2072 300 13 0
CDI 0 37 6 144 2859 4206 208 0
VCDI 0 0 0 18 1139 10835 4792 1896
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 604 47 64 56 27 0 0
OW 0 692 140 262 71 64 0 0
VODI 0 261 167 839 346 127 0 0
ODI 0 29 15 525 2060 351 9 0
CDI 0 33 5 142 2940 4158 247 0
VCDI 0 0 0 22 1138 10852 4757 1896

Date: 2024-06-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 842 38 65 72 8 0 0
OW 0 837 376 213 75 12 0 0
VODI 0 70 68 1433 421 41 0 0
ODI 0 5 1 229 4175 307 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 106 1467 7967 106 0
VCDI 0 0 0 22 1167 7811 3852 1160
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 665 36 59 71 24 0 0
OW 0 709 185 259 124 46 0 0
VODI 0 314 216 874 555 82 1 0
ODI 0 33 40 575 2077 351 6 0
CDI 0 33 6 211 2927 4798 630 24
VCDI 0 0 0 90 1623 10845 3321 1136

Date: 2024-06-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 865 56 86 49 17 0 0
OW 0 822 315 339 108 22 0 0
VODI 0 65 97 1419 573 63 0 0
ODI 0 2 3 444 3610 383 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 124 1954 8296 446 92
VCDI 0 0 0 7 1135 8561 2714 279
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 595 45 79 42 33 0 0
OW 0 765 150 326 153 38 0 0
VODI 0 341 227 893 723 70 0 0
ODI 0 45 42 793 2018 277 0 0
CDI 0 8 7 311 3180 6500 516 7
VCDI 0 0 0 17 1313 10424 2644 364

Date: 2024-06-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 952 65 164 46 6 0 0
OW 0 829 260 604 131 34 0 0
VODI 0 133 122 1411 697 71 0 0
ODI 0 1 11 749 3180 210 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 159 2341 8374 508 0
VCDI 0 0 0 22 1753 9320 793 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 567 59 173 59 3 0 0
OW 0 771 111 416 146 20 0 0
VODI 0 505 178 856 758 79 0 0
ODI 0 72 108 1097 1878 284 0 0
CDI 0 0 2 520 4066 7004 109 0
VCDI 0 0 0 47 1241 10625 1192 0


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