Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-06-20

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-06-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81657 15143 161 223 62 14 0 0
OW 127 4216 847 1347 156 43 1 0
VODI 23 1304 544 3077 922 215 17 2
ODI 0 247 108 1359 2956 985 116 8
CDI 0 206 84 911 4723 9108 3100 41
VCDI 0 3 5 101 942 11636 30222 17781
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82240 14767 104 275 66 0 0 0
OW 156 4544 734 1181 206 21 0 0
VODI 23 1524 500 2869 1054 223 25 0
ODI 1 341 199 1500 2926 1258 106 1
CDI 0 228 48 1030 5574 8019 3235 125
VCDI 0 24 1 184 2152 16945 22123 18211
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83091 16441 195 228 66 1 0 0
OW 64 4672 1065 1114 139 14 1 0
VODI 4 584 369 3871 1105 107 17 0
ODI 1 118 49 1110 4959 658 51 1
CDI 0 48 26 313 4982 12465 1510 39
VCDI 0 0 0 52 2043 21503 19091 12576
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84117 16460 254 271 63 9 0 0
OW 88 4115 834 1278 171 53 0 0
VODI 4 805 472 3296 1304 182 4 0
ODI 1 204 61 1320 4095 884 38 0
CDI 0 64 21 524 5362 13070 2229 0
VCDI 0 1 8 129 2870 28732 14949 6401
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84132 17076 297 318 60 10 0 0
OW 73 3443 814 1334 189 49 0 0
VODI 4 853 448 3170 1342 175 5 0
ODI 1 210 63 1349 3873 865 32 0
CDI 0 67 20 493 5504 13237 2276 0
VCDI 0 0 8 154 2897 28594 14907 6401

Date: 2024-06-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84605 16990 236 288 60 25 0 0
OW 10 4054 770 1268 221 80 0 0
VODI 6 1062 473 2799 1390 237 1 0
ODI 1 338 107 1309 3710 773 31 0
CDI 1 116 46 685 6201 11910 1731 0
VCDI 0 0 4 131 3352 30637 15234 3851
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84598 17467 294 330 62 28 0 0
OW 15 3508 719 1348 209 82 0 0
VODI 6 1121 481 2560 1382 219 2 0
ODI 2 340 93 1429 3582 814 18 0
CDI 2 111 35 615 6297 11883 1673 0
VCDI 0 13 14 198 3402 30636 15304 3851

Date: 2024-06-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85921 17960 263 323 88 9 0 0
OW 56 3582 1249 1059 114 21 0 0
VODI 20 277 197 4272 1105 75 1 0
ODI 1 32 24 871 7760 547 5 0
CDI 1 4 3 252 4585 21172 628 0
VCDI 0 0 0 64 2934 25554 12508 1206
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85871 16580 298 376 74 33 0 0
OW 90 3483 678 1286 269 75 0 0
VODI 31 1297 534 2460 1412 190 1 0
ODI 5 360 162 1582 3495 1026 39 0
CDI 2 111 42 866 7283 12097 1768 24
VCDI 0 24 22 271 4053 33957 11334 1182

Date: 2024-06-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87440 17132 339 333 53 18 0 0
OW 33 3567 1020 1340 156 35 0 0
VODI 11 361 389 3772 1355 107 1 0
ODI 1 39 29 1471 6297 942 5 0
CDI 1 6 9 460 4811 20242 2050 92
VCDI 0 15 1 50 2910 29887 7622 341
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87370 15609 321 374 44 42 0 0
OW 101 3378 613 1409 269 68 0 0
VODI 12 1471 512 2306 1479 182 1 0
ODI 3 513 216 1741 3350 1064 41 0
CDI 0 123 100 1420 7082 14658 1404 7
VCDI 0 26 25 176 3358 35217 8232 426

Date: 2024-06-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87663 17114 333 351 49 7 0 0
OW 45 3544 855 1643 211 48 0 0
VODI 11 761 457 3474 1624 139 1 0
ODI 3 66 107 2127 5931 1148 13 0
CDI 0 29 8 509 7193 18478 2311 0
VCDI 0 13 1 68 3348 32151 2906 3
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87573 15641 373 554 65 27 0 0
OW 136 3318 491 1476 363 74 0 0
VODI 11 1722 473 2120 1653 242 1 0
ODI 2 665 291 2022 3352 1274 31 0
CDI 0 157 129 1880 9553 13031 545 0
VCDI 0 24 4 120 3370 37323 4654 3


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