Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-06-13

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-06-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 102 6 37 18 0 0 0
OW 0 60 46 192 67 0 1 0
VODI 0 41 76 512 244 2 2 0
ODI 0 19 15 263 801 109 9 0
CDI 0 58 44 378 2302 2187 142 0
VCDI 0 11 19 213 651 2134 12096 10089
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 149 17 75 47 5 0 0
OW 0 88 71 179 56 20 0 0
VODI 0 105 85 409 241 46 5 0
ODI 0 40 26 247 733 191 17 0
CDI 0 104 56 427 2085 2409 384 2
VCDI 0 17 21 211 605 2341 10228 11204
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 184 18 72 22 21 0 0
OW 0 295 165 227 44 22 0 0
VODI 0 151 76 699 265 58 0 0
ODI 0 18 32 277 1355 317 16 0
CDI 0 0 6 215 1565 3158 332 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 197 2221 10667 10250
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 161 27 59 18 19 0 0
OW 0 293 178 215 45 31 0 0
VODI 0 177 124 698 244 93 2 0
ODI 0 18 29 385 1153 577 21 0
CDI 0 0 5 266 1740 3598 698 2
VCDI 0 0 0 8 328 4025 10387 7322
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 168 26 82 22 13 0 0
OW 0 284 187 197 42 30 0 0
VODI 0 179 114 707 238 103 3 0
ODI 0 18 31 386 1173 649 17 0
CDI 0 0 5 250 1707 3536 688 2
VCDI 0 0 0 9 346 4012 10400 7322

Date: 2024-06-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 182 15 60 34 11 0 0
OW 0 230 176 238 35 46 0 0
VODI 0 223 138 709 289 123 6 0
ODI 0 40 31 480 1191 664 17 0
CDI 0 6 5 256 2106 3664 905 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 493 4453 8687 7433
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 179 23 100 32 14 0 0
OW 0 241 176 217 41 38 0 0
VODI 0 206 131 700 292 114 8 0
ODI 0 49 30 481 1294 699 14 0
CDI 0 6 5 245 1964 3573 833 14
VCDI 0 0 0 0 525 4523 8760 7419

Date: 2024-06-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 276 27 58 41 1 0 0
OW 0 511 229 270 69 11 0 0
VODI 0 14 37 1210 372 43 1 0
ODI 0 0 1 255 2617 367 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 55 1554 5005 359 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 906 7240 7588 3828
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 227 27 110 51 1 0 0
OW 0 240 99 251 88 15 0 0
VODI 0 233 103 728 411 88 0 0
ODI 0 100 55 488 1623 551 5 0
CDI 0 1 10 271 2057 3691 1237 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 1329 8321 6706 3828

Date: 2024-06-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 353 29 95 39 20 0 0
OW 0 561 234 277 62 37 0 0
VODI 0 70 91 1049 429 100 2 0
ODI 0 1 2 326 2121 840 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 102 1649 4727 398 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1245 10268 4773 3042
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 324 39 123 61 33 0 0
OW 0 238 116 231 63 56 0 0
VODI 0 265 123 693 342 223 0 0
ODI 0 143 46 471 1347 826 6 0
CDI 0 15 32 310 2183 3357 934 5
VCDI 0 0 0 21 1549 11497 4237 3037

Date: 2024-06-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 448 43 104 49 27 0 0
OW 0 702 181 174 79 58 0 0
VODI 0 168 141 960 376 157 1 0
ODI 0 11 27 470 2071 398 10 0
CDI 0 21 6 160 2562 4901 173 8
VCDI 0 0 0 6 854 10607 4441 2552
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 428 50 125 76 22 0 0
OW 0 376 102 139 80 61 0 0
VODI 0 297 119 633 467 171 5 0
ODI 0 192 66 580 1381 632 43 0
CDI 0 57 57 325 2804 2262 582 3
VCDI 0 0 4 72 1183 13000 3995 2557


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