Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-06-13

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-06-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12696 3016 31 119 2 0 0 0
OW 95 1698 168 281 86 5 0 0
VODI 0 627 174 808 362 38 1 0
ODI 0 166 66 572 536 139 28 0
CDI 0 114 43 579 1630 1765 608 0
VCDI 0 24 37 347 1206 5135 18481 9548
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13074 3197 34 139 1 0 0 0
OW 51 1686 158 353 80 1 0 0
VODI 0 632 153 673 205 75 13 0
ODI 0 266 67 510 369 144 63 0
CDI 0 215 85 558 1720 2048 1228 8
VCDI 0 51 48 349 955 4280 19692 8050
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13125 3977 78 100 1 0 0 0
OW 3 1723 313 498 57 2 0 0
VODI 0 314 143 1081 215 45 5 0
ODI 0 146 30 379 927 153 61 0
CDI 0 95 60 484 1653 3441 790 0
VCDI 0 0 0 23 368 5938 20163 4840
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13646 3678 77 102 20 0 0 0
OW 35 1597 289 530 70 6 0 0
VODI 3 557 174 915 270 56 24 2
ODI 0 190 34 411 758 257 79 5
CDI 0 177 79 563 1935 2831 879 25
VCDI 0 0 0 34 679 4880 16959 8405
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13649 3679 90 133 27 0 0 0
OW 32 1616 273 514 70 8 0 0
VODI 3 560 183 885 272 54 16 2
ODI 0 169 31 416 722 268 76 6
CDI 0 175 76 562 1896 2826 835 23
VCDI 0 0 0 45 745 4874 17014 8406

Date: 2024-06-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13883 3563 36 119 20 0 0 0
OW 63 1609 238 529 76 7 1 0
VODI 24 688 100 749 364 106 20 0
ODI 1 225 71 372 764 280 79 4
CDI 0 225 54 548 1775 2201 887 29
VCDI 0 7 9 109 832 10095 14502 5967
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13898 3652 43 135 19 0 0 0
OW 49 1580 228 507 86 9 0 0
VODI 23 626 115 757 350 95 16 0
ODI 0 210 59 356 754 284 79 5
CDI 1 244 51 558 1715 2261 985 21
VCDI 0 5 12 113 907 10040 14409 5974

Date: 2024-06-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14212 4113 57 96 2 0 0 0
OW 59 1914 309 334 20 3 1 0
VODI 5 283 96 1175 317 47 14 0
ODI 1 59 26 514 1573 193 28 0
CDI 0 21 5 191 1606 6057 300 5
VCDI 0 0 0 15 765 10313 11209 5293
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14207 3509 32 84 6 0 0 0
OW 52 1665 244 484 93 33 1 0
VODI 17 643 81 578 384 166 18 0
ODI 1 274 66 424 647 201 73 0
CDI 0 299 70 629 1891 2746 1567 88
VCDI 0 0 0 126 1262 13467 9893 5210

Date: 2024-06-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14923 3646 29 76 2 0 0 0
OW 25 1889 256 312 34 4 0 0
VODI 4 517 126 1003 459 66 5 0
ODI 1 151 32 503 1325 234 26 0
CDI 0 51 19 234 1899 5862 690 0
VCDI 0 1 1 36 1497 14455 8551 2287
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14906 2997 23 63 3 0 0 0
OW 42 1691 187 435 114 1 0 0
VODI 4 714 99 482 520 47 10 0
ODI 1 399 79 378 607 285 54 0
CDI 0 449 72 656 2307 3277 1468 0
VCDI 0 5 3 150 1665 17011 7740 2287

Date: 2024-06-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15061 3738 28 73 6 0 0 0
OW 12 1654 245 393 61 10 1 0
VODI 5 590 130 905 623 60 5 0
ODI 2 223 53 595 1022 309 35 0
CDI 1 62 20 292 2074 5398 844 0
VCDI 0 0 4 175 2019 16092 6868 1543
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15022 3063 27 69 9 0 0 0
OW 47 1457 160 427 196 6 0 0
VODI 7 787 119 481 449 94 0 0
ODI 3 448 71 483 547 317 57 0
CDI 2 494 96 707 2485 3880 1222 111
VCDI 0 18 7 266 2119 17572 6474 1432


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