Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-06-13

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-06-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79572 14209 106 214 28 0 0 0
OW 447 3480 589 914 195 9 1 0
VODI 1 1061 616 2982 1012 52 3 0
ODI 0 236 117 1739 2573 436 42 0
CDI 0 176 98 1184 5297 5863 1154 0
VCDI 0 35 56 567 1978 8059 34791 24851
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80424 14365 116 286 48 5 0 0
OW 233 3552 540 951 178 21 0 0
VODI 0 1386 623 2417 800 142 18 0
ODI 0 458 225 1707 2073 481 85 2
CDI 0 325 173 1605 4985 6240 2143 16
VCDI 0 68 69 560 1617 7469 33702 24635
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80693 15802 180 234 24 21 0 0
OW 43 4252 1013 1230 118 24 0 0
VODI 0 683 478 3704 892 103 5 1
ODI 0 165 68 1095 3553 513 77 5
CDI 0 95 66 772 4251 8755 1697 11
VCDI 0 0 0 24 575 8657 34474 20390
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81017 15439 195 238 45 19 0 0
OW 90 4319 927 1315 160 37 0 0
VODI 3 1096 596 3337 800 149 26 2
ODI 0 219 84 1348 3071 899 103 8
CDI 0 177 84 958 4912 8852 2738 50
VCDI 0 0 0 42 1021 9623 33169 17575
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81032 15472 232 298 55 13 0 0
OW 75 4335 914 1329 162 38 0 0
VODI 3 1067 574 3236 808 158 19 2
ODI 0 201 85 1356 2971 978 99 10
CDI 0 175 81 965 4903 8763 2711 40
VCDI 0 0 0 54 1110 9629 33207 17583

Date: 2024-06-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81949 14956 149 250 75 11 0 0
OW 164 4238 796 1396 144 53 1 0
VODI 24 1452 498 2959 941 229 26 0
ODI 1 295 140 1429 2923 1148 107 5
CDI 0 232 60 978 5164 8415 2940 33
VCDI 0 7 9 109 1325 15436 26876 16800
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81986 15067 182 334 75 14 0 0
OW 128 4246 774 1368 160 47 0 0
VODI 23 1315 485 2900 967 210 24 0
ODI 0 297 142 1382 2924 1151 105 6
CDI 1 250 57 1024 5012 8404 2876 170
VCDI 0 5 12 113 1434 15466 26945 16662

Date: 2024-06-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82650 16503 172 223 63 1 0 0
OW 86 4619 1179 1121 118 14 1 0
VODI 5 332 202 4366 973 90 15 0
ODI 1 61 27 1001 5489 608 28 1
CDI 0 21 5 255 3976 13688 760 8
VCDI 0 0 0 16 1675 17932 23181 13277
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82616 14972 150 271 61 1 0 0
OW 108 4436 702 1244 251 48 1 0
VODI 17 1363 433 2692 1213 266 18 0
ODI 1 462 199 1505 2884 975 96 1
CDI 0 303 101 1143 5262 8382 3971 116
VCDI 0 0 0 127 2623 22661 19899 13169

Date: 2024-06-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83656 16357 198 252 51 20 0 0
OW 30 4423 1002 1190 131 42 0 0
VODI 4 708 364 3634 1210 166 8 0
ODI 1 154 40 1090 4411 1121 34 0
CDI 0 51 19 391 4831 13161 1682 0
VCDI 0 1 1 36 2771 25961 19053 6488
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83624 14592 176 311 64 33 0 0
OW 62 4419 625 1130 245 58 0 0
VODI 4 1563 495 2325 1268 290 11 0
ODI 1 646 211 1436 2491 1299 96 0
CDI 0 469 114 1220 6048 9064 3486 6
VCDI 0 5 3 171 3289 29727 17184 6482

Date: 2024-06-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84002 17131 212 323 58 27 0 0
OW 28 4014 867 1253 199 68 1 0
VODI 5 937 469 2963 1374 219 7 0
ODI 2 251 85 1340 3897 766 51 0
CDI 1 91 35 562 6136 12588 1836 8
VCDI 0 0 4 181 2935 28664 15980 5173
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83871 15242 216 350 93 22 0 0
OW 155 3952 514 1098 354 70 0 0
VODI 7 1788 482 1907 1415 309 9 0
ODI 3 849 270 1578 2389 1156 108 0
CDI 2 575 179 1351 6807 8761 3346 179
VCDI 0 18 11 338 3541 32014 14412 5002


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