Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-06-06

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-05-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 102 14 13 1 4 0 0
OW 0 40 8 34 27 9 0 0
VODI 0 6 14 120 147 24 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 183 497 28 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 149 1660 2327 140 0
VCDI 0 0 0 111 801 3371 13362 9749
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 87 23 8 3 0 0 0
OW 0 29 8 39 33 3 1 0
VODI 0 19 13 165 145 13 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 287 379 21 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 296 1865 2386 304 0
VCDI 0 0 0 135 732 3209 13622 9118
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 106 7 1 10 0 0 0
OW 0 41 29 106 58 2 2 0
VODI 0 2 9 508 276 10 0 0
ODI 0 1 3 200 874 73 1 0
CDI 0 1 11 123 1517 3125 368 0
VCDI 0 0 0 107 515 1399 12167 11294
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 95 2 10 16 0 0 0
OW 0 40 21 169 73 3 2 0
VODI 0 2 16 564 237 16 4 0
ODI 0 3 8 240 769 162 12 0
CDI 0 20 29 236 1752 2840 406 0
VCDI 0 2 15 162 605 1237 11650 11528
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 101 3 16 25 0 1 0
OW 0 30 22 212 77 3 1 0
VODI 0 6 12 521 256 16 6 0
ODI 0 1 8 229 701 162 11 0
CDI 0 23 33 255 1802 2734 335 0
VCDI 0 1 13 148 591 1343 11720 11528

Date: 2024-06-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 126 8 48 37 3 0 0
OW 0 76 61 195 53 17 0 0
VODI 0 65 96 446 246 32 1 0
ODI 0 33 20 255 754 160 13 0
CDI 0 84 41 383 2082 2495 267 0
VCDI 0 27 30 227 613 1932 9949 12071
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 135 14 67 59 5 0 0
OW 0 66 58 212 52 11 0 0
VODI 0 69 96 426 240 31 2 0
ODI 0 24 15 250 724 161 14 0
CDI 0 88 41 349 2072 2272 224 0
VCDI 0 29 32 250 638 2159 9990 12071

Date: 2024-06-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 166 23 91 38 6 0 0
OW 0 284 156 210 34 12 0 0
VODI 0 118 77 717 275 30 4 0
ODI 0 17 29 253 1515 160 13 0
CDI 0 0 1 186 1477 3148 227 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 151 1876 11899 9747
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 150 19 91 56 19 0 0
OW 0 109 58 195 57 20 1 0
VODI 0 130 94 393 249 48 11 0
ODI 0 38 26 211 682 220 22 0
CDI 0 154 73 423 1944 2416 285 0
VCDI 0 4 16 150 502 2509 11824 9747

Date: 2024-06-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 179 14 73 20 20 0 0
OW 0 304 163 248 46 27 0 0
VODI 0 161 105 700 273 63 4 0
ODI 0 14 21 303 1253 464 11 0
CDI 0 12 8 222 1593 3362 454 0
VCDI 0 0 0 9 245 2989 9617 9969
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 157 10 78 27 53 0 0
OW 0 140 68 180 43 44 0 0
VODI 0 136 95 414 272 84 11 0
ODI 0 53 37 296 602 297 30 0
CDI 0 184 95 515 2032 3064 333 1
VCDI 0 0 6 72 454 3383 9712 9968

Date: 2024-06-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 166 21 49 31 14 0 0
OW 0 246 128 268 44 35 0 0
VODI 0 194 106 724 282 104 2 0
ODI 0 25 35 403 1190 568 17 0
CDI 0 0 3 258 1930 3968 762 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 281 4160 9013 7917
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 151 25 68 48 34 0 0
OW 0 116 65 247 78 45 0 0
VODI 0 112 82 538 351 119 8 0
ODI 0 54 31 306 717 454 20 0
CDI 0 182 66 397 1919 3704 626 0
VCDI 0 16 24 148 645 4493 9140 7917


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