Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-06-06

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-05-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11056 2498 22 75 1 0 0 0
OW 2 1337 208 378 26 2 0 0
VODI 0 355 191 1154 270 33 9 0
ODI 0 142 53 492 660 152 42 0
CDI 0 191 93 465 1376 1889 523 0
VCDI 0 0 13 167 730 4167 15211 17248
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11555 2170 29 25 8 0 0 0
OW 1 1389 174 383 76 2 0 0
VODI 0 604 166 870 321 48 3 0
ODI 0 258 55 439 622 110 35 0
CDI 0 348 85 533 1476 1910 809 102
VCDI 0 1 10 185 829 2667 16825 16108
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11482 3146 35 90 9 0 0 0
OW 26 1910 263 324 49 15 0 0
VODI 0 525 204 975 345 48 1 0
ODI 0 72 35 417 976 126 18 0
CDI 0 2 14 279 1492 2286 808 0
VCDI 0 18 0 122 598 4634 20116 9771
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11761 3552 57 97 13 0 0 0
OW 10 1788 189 275 98 12 0 0
VODI 0 617 218 771 437 31 2 0
ODI 0 116 51 575 647 127 32 0
CDI 0 79 40 486 1677 1821 650 2
VCDI 0 28 25 266 951 4862 21767 7101
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11763 3653 61 105 14 0 0 0
OW 8 1692 185 267 92 13 0 0
VODI 0 615 216 773 447 37 2 0
ODI 0 114 52 547 600 133 40 0
CDI 0 74 42 520 1715 1762 778 48
VCDI 0 32 24 258 955 4908 21631 7055

Date: 2024-06-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12994 3040 22 136 10 0 0 0
OW 62 1674 143 327 116 3 0 0
VODI 0 688 165 693 259 81 3 0
ODI 0 241 99 458 420 174 34 0
CDI 0 156 80 707 1576 1833 873 2
VCDI 0 49 49 374 1512 5240 19626 7312
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12994 3073 34 144 11 1 0 0
OW 62 1642 133 365 112 2 0 0
VODI 0 681 161 654 254 90 9 0
ODI 0 238 96 419 404 162 29 0
CDI 0 167 73 724 1628 1905 946 6
VCDI 0 47 61 389 1484 5171 19552 7308

Date: 2024-06-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13187 3900 58 101 2 0 0 0
OW 12 1832 363 379 30 0 0 0
VODI 0 249 95 1125 212 10 2 0
ODI 0 125 35 381 975 120 37 0
CDI 0 65 44 436 1628 3778 336 0
VCDI 0 1 1 17 355 4090 21608 5642
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13157 3371 48 101 8 0 0 0
OW 42 1586 179 375 50 1 0 0
VODI 0 629 155 647 225 83 20 0
ODI 0 289 85 453 331 195 57 0
CDI 0 261 86 541 1611 2231 1361 0
VCDI 0 36 43 322 977 5488 20545 5642

Date: 2024-06-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13281 3885 64 125 8 0 0 0
OW 4 1667 294 510 55 7 0 0
VODI 0 439 186 1015 237 34 14 0
ODI 0 174 41 365 906 162 84 0
CDI 0 134 64 564 1820 3113 963 0
VCDI 0 0 0 19 368 5427 18793 6409
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13262 3331 57 110 26 0 0 0
OW 23 1548 162 471 59 7 0 0
VODI 0 690 204 635 239 85 18 0
ODI 0 356 116 453 362 167 109 0
CDI 0 371 102 757 1765 2087 1612 10
VCDI 0 3 8 172 943 6397 18115 6399

Date: 2024-06-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14051 3418 40 102 15 0 0 0
OW 78 1543 285 500 67 8 1 0
VODI 23 699 135 804 293 111 15 2
ODI 0 208 48 383 703 296 83 7
CDI 0 206 81 537 1526 2760 962 31
VCDI 0 3 5 99 644 6787 16223 7449
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14069 2834 32 113 29 1 0 0
OW 70 1410 148 395 82 28 0 0
VODI 11 905 186 513 169 155 10 0
ODI 2 426 84 411 343 202 67 3
CDI 0 492 124 821 1551 2198 1451 38
VCDI 0 10 20 172 1074 7378 15756 7448


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