Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-05-30

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-05-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63564 12601 105 124 3 0 0 0
OW 17 1321 401 604 68 3 0 0
VODI 2 109 177 1214 465 34 0 0
ODI 1 11 16 562 1096 167 2 0
CDI 0 0 2 241 1851 4146 812 0
VCDI 0 0 0 32 325 1723 3186 5431
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63902 12208 72 87 0 0 0 0
OW 7 1522 366 497 35 4 0 0
VODI 1 188 240 1106 469 28 0 0
ODI 1 27 38 751 1097 163 3 0
CDI 0 19 31 298 2150 4505 593 21
VCDI 0 0 0 27 321 1591 3058 4990
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63738 12806 129 106 6 0 0 0
OW 0 1127 426 422 68 4 0 0
VODI 0 119 205 1858 456 22 0 0
ODI 0 22 8 476 1603 215 3 0
CDI 0 0 1 127 1922 4508 599 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 109 1552 3069 4706
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63954 12392 113 93 16 0 0 0
OW 1 1435 375 405 85 2 0 0
VODI 0 233 284 1744 394 24 0 0
ODI 0 29 29 680 1626 239 19 0
CDI 0 0 3 288 2224 4229 547 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 164 1153 3972 3664
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63954 12340 119 104 15 0 0 0
OW 1 1451 355 419 87 1 0 0
VODI 0 265 296 1731 420 25 0 0
ODI 0 33 30 641 1692 303 13 0
CDI 0 0 4 315 2198 4118 561 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 97 1200 3964 3664

Date: 2024-06-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64273 11729 103 122 4 0 0 0
OW 0 1647 344 478 78 3 0 0
VODI 0 422 305 1659 494 45 0 0
ODI 0 54 86 730 1930 381 4 0
CDI 0 15 16 419 2079 3307 699 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 332 1358 5839 1460
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64273 11707 109 121 12 0 0 0
OW 0 1617 340 600 73 7 0 0
VODI 0 454 300 1575 538 47 0 0
ODI 0 70 80 662 1941 388 3 0
CDI 0 19 25 451 2178 3363 760 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 175 1289 5779 1460

Date: 2024-06-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64892 11956 69 57 6 0 0 0
OW 0 1601 658 637 42 1 0 0
VODI 0 32 57 2354 538 9 0 0
ODI 0 1 5 395 2951 189 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 29 854 3550 163 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 606 4564 4196
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64889 11136 92 80 17 0 0 0
OW 3 1917 359 741 149 5 0 0
VODI 0 422 239 1403 602 55 0 0
ODI 0 88 79 681 1726 533 8 0
CDI 0 27 20 567 1892 3205 830 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 8 557 3889 4197

Date: 2024-06-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65389 11905 71 51 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1842 405 701 53 2 0 0
VODI 0 131 228 2100 523 12 0 0
ODI 0 12 18 666 1952 178 2 0
CDI 0 0 5 75 1420 2608 141 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 33 1153 4085 4655
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65389 10985 58 56 10 0 0 0
OW 0 2252 281 777 125 6 0 0
VODI 0 460 254 1362 480 48 0 0
ODI 0 127 77 870 1397 313 2 0
CDI 0 66 57 528 1950 2726 444 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 19 860 3782 4655

Date: 2024-06-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66726 11091 69 58 8 0 0 0
OW 352 1722 375 441 42 4 0 0
VODI 1 393 366 1662 406 12 0 0
ODI 0 51 36 904 1236 188 5 0
CDI 0 4 11 227 1365 1911 404 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 121 790 4214 5214
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66545 10245 79 86 24 1 0 0
OW 534 1814 272 593 119 6 0 0
VODI 0 792 233 1001 543 40 0 0
ODI 0 271 175 824 785 293 21 0
CDI 0 139 98 781 1657 2103 920 0
VCDI 0 0 0 14 50 462 3682 5214


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