Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-05-30

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-05-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 2 0 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 50 21 48 3 3 0 0
VODI 0 12 24 111 57 20 3 1
ODI 0 0 0 92 253 48 25 7
CDI 0 0 0 5 530 1651 430 21
VCDI 0 0 0 0 511 2570 11891 14552
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 24 2 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 71 19 48 3 1 0 0
VODI 0 21 30 72 69 7 7 0
ODI 0 1 1 75 250 75 51 0
CDI 0 1 2 72 732 1890 999 169
VCDI 0 0 0 3 541 3753 15485 8470
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 94 3 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 59 26 31 13 2 0 0
VODI 0 9 6 127 90 23 2 0
ODI 0 1 1 93 519 71 14 0
CDI 0 0 0 62 771 2375 218 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 465 3141 16225 8502
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 107 12 7 0 0 0 0
OW 0 42 8 37 17 6 4 0
VODI 0 10 12 128 95 32 6 0
ODI 0 0 0 198 453 57 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 111 1431 2524 197 2
VCDI 0 0 0 78 695 3264 13301 10102
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 107 12 14 0 0 0 0
OW 0 46 14 42 21 9 4 0
VODI 0 6 6 139 93 30 6 0
ODI 0 0 0 171 436 62 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 114 1456 2476 235 2
VCDI 0 0 0 79 685 3306 13265 10102

Date: 2024-06-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 96 15 18 5 0 0 0
OW 0 34 3 42 24 1 0 0
VODI 0 15 12 146 129 16 4 0
ODI 0 0 0 281 414 18 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 301 1920 2395 268 1
VCDI 0 0 0 120 849 3509 13402 8907
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 102 15 24 7 0 0 0
OW 0 34 7 42 24 1 0 0
VODI 0 9 8 163 119 12 4 0
ODI 0 0 0 269 396 21 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 297 1921 2358 326 1
VCDI 0 0 0 113 874 3547 13344 8907

Date: 2024-06-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 108 11 6 4 0 0 0
OW 0 32 34 78 34 1 2 0
VODI 0 0 8 477 255 11 2 0
ODI 0 1 3 222 942 48 1 0
CDI 0 0 3 138 1480 3327 195 0
VCDI 0 0 0 90 489 1743 12292 10909
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 101 15 7 9 0 0 0
OW 0 22 13 58 35 1 2 0
VODI 0 14 20 181 149 12 3 0
ODI 0 3 4 316 345 20 1 0
CDI 0 1 7 332 1879 2241 489 0
VCDI 0 0 0 117 787 2856 11997 10909

Date: 2024-06-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 101 2 2 15 0 1 0
OW 0 37 34 139 60 1 1 0
VODI 0 3 22 551 243 10 0 0
ODI 0 3 5 249 745 156 9 0
CDI 0 4 18 170 1566 3021 291 0
VCDI 0 0 0 156 644 1673 12212 10802
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 98 2 5 15 0 1 0
OW 0 26 20 68 50 4 1 0
VODI 0 16 22 247 118 14 0 0
ODI 0 4 13 394 269 34 16 0
CDI 0 3 17 362 1732 2354 658 0
VCDI 0 1 7 191 1089 2455 11838 10802

Date: 2024-06-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 102 6 37 18 0 0 0
OW 0 60 46 192 67 0 1 0
VODI 0 41 76 512 244 2 2 0
ODI 0 19 15 263 801 109 9 0
CDI 0 58 44 378 2302 2187 142 0
VCDI 0 11 19 213 651 2134 12096 10089
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 77 4 30 16 0 0 0
OW 0 50 19 54 33 0 6 0
VODI 0 47 45 283 119 15 21 0
ODI 0 34 52 404 357 61 29 0
CDI 0 47 50 515 2294 2087 684 0
VCDI 0 36 36 309 1264 2269 11510 10089


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