Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-05-30

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-05-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73173 14529 115 210 11 0 0 0
OW 408 3091 584 917 107 7 0 0
VODI 26 415 334 2349 710 76 3 1
ODI 1 78 69 1195 1895 340 34 7
CDI 0 87 61 947 3722 7408 1671 28
VCDI 0 53 32 252 1474 6716 29464 42143
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73507 14420 80 123 21 0 0 0
OW 373 3361 492 751 91 5 0 0
VODI 1 571 455 2121 762 43 7 0
ODI 1 162 89 1403 1958 303 81 0
CDI 0 150 84 1023 4389 7751 1970 190
VCDI 0 45 36 274 1748 8334 39190 28378
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73801 16036 150 172 18 0 0 0
OW 135 2554 768 809 135 6 0 0
VODI 0 314 318 3417 873 52 2 0
ODI 0 86 36 1023 3003 345 27 0
CDI 0 85 64 572 3888 8784 1195 5
VCDI 0 0 0 131 1200 7881 36583 30275
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74999 15137 146 187 21 0 0 0
OW 7 2755 591 853 144 8 4 0
VODI 0 567 450 3105 736 69 11 0
ODI 0 132 58 1383 2788 393 93 0
CDI 0 119 74 852 5102 8502 1403 2
VCDI 0 0 1 190 1470 8979 33742 29670
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74908 15140 163 229 21 0 0 0
OW 98 2660 546 846 158 10 4 0
VODI 0 650 475 3084 773 66 15 0
ODI 0 139 58 1338 2735 448 93 0
CDI 0 121 78 887 5222 8450 1432 2
VCDI 0 0 0 186 1352 8977 33709 29670

Date: 2024-06-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75642 14238 141 199 16 0 0 0
OW 7 3022 499 954 142 5 0 0
VODI 0 879 479 2843 908 129 6 0
ODI 0 245 123 1502 3004 543 46 0
CDI 0 309 99 1138 5358 7612 1654 1
VCDI 0 1 15 269 1845 8641 34873 27356
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75625 14346 151 235 24 0 0 0
OW 24 2886 481 1083 154 10 0 0
VODI 0 892 483 2719 947 130 18 0
ODI 0 260 118 1428 2875 575 44 0
CDI 0 308 110 1180 5550 7590 1792 125
VCDI 0 2 13 260 1723 8625 34725 27232

Date: 2024-06-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76658 14899 93 148 20 0 0 0
OW 1 3444 1037 1152 128 2 2 0
VODI 0 389 159 4002 1176 30 2 0
ODI 0 67 38 939 5207 313 13 0
CDI 0 3 8 458 3621 9652 631 1
VCDI 0 17 0 147 1040 4095 33541 31610
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76643 13564 123 187 42 0 0 0
OW 16 3369 477 1150 265 6 2 0
VODI 0 1107 480 2291 1082 75 5 0
ODI 0 380 130 1445 2662 659 49 0
CDI 0 381 108 1401 5389 7352 2846 83
VCDI 0 18 17 372 1752 6000 31287 31528

Date: 2024-06-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77035 15398 113 190 24 0 1 0
OW 25 3719 657 1138 169 18 1 0
VODI 0 704 406 3579 1187 76 3 0
ODI 0 94 58 1398 3553 446 35 0
CDI 0 22 51 538 4674 7704 1137 0
VCDI 0 179 15 390 1513 7753 38576 22164
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77028 13745 96 174 39 0 1 0
OW 25 3864 416 1071 255 13 1 0
VODI 7 1435 438 2175 951 84 6 0
ODI 0 408 142 1724 2200 438 67 0
CDI 0 437 149 1450 5364 6958 3718 192
VCDI 0 227 59 639 2311 8504 35960 21972

Date: 2024-06-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79572 14209 106 214 28 0 0 0
OW 447 3480 589 914 195 9 1 0
VODI 1 1061 616 2982 1012 52 3 0
ODI 0 236 117 1739 2573 436 42 0
CDI 0 176 98 1184 5297 5863 1154 0
VCDI 0 35 56 567 1978 8059 34791 24851
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79289 12338 119 206 40 1 0 0
OW 713 3325 380 900 190 17 8 0
VODI 18 1875 405 1795 956 91 54 0
ODI 0 630 302 1667 1491 506 175 3
CDI 0 643 246 2155 5703 5803 3258 240
VCDI 0 386 130 877 2703 8001 32496 24608


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