Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-05-23

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-05-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8266 1393 15 27 8 0 0 0
OW 0 1182 78 149 57 0 0 0
VODI 0 495 215 1027 261 17 5 0
ODI 0 56 43 641 750 170 17 0
CDI 0 70 63 573 1175 1230 392 9
VCDI 0 0 0 39 755 3239 15697 23117
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8512 1322 5 29 5 0 0 0
OW 0 1281 49 148 49 1 0 0
VODI 0 714 272 959 225 22 2 0
ODI 0 92 46 599 712 228 7 0
CDI 0 179 70 665 1435 1021 361 0
VCDI 0 94 25 334 1462 3099 16597 20610
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8711 1907 13 46 5 0 0 0
OW 4 1978 260 319 35 3 0 0
VODI 0 105 214 1305 227 23 0 0
ODI 0 28 24 358 967 151 2 0
CDI 0 46 25 534 1557 1764 180 1
VCDI 0 2 12 138 527 3165 16956 19639
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9190 1869 20 95 5 0 0 0
OW 300 1726 247 289 40 3 0 0
VODI 12 310 168 1087 198 31 3 0
ODI 0 48 25 509 635 126 10 0
CDI 0 88 36 686 1429 1479 438 3
VCDI 0 58 28 242 672 2719 16329 20078
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9155 1823 17 97 6 0 0 0
OW 319 1638 180 220 31 2 0 0
VODI 28 408 229 1025 182 35 2 0
ODI 0 56 28 575 582 127 14 0
CDI 0 95 41 785 1472 1436 359 3
VCDI 0 79 29 206 706 2758 16405 20078

Date: 2024-05-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9509 2041 8 69 16 0 0 0
OW 376 1737 136 253 42 0 0 0
VODI 0 263 127 1028 180 23 0 0
ODI 0 93 42 579 561 130 10 0
CDI 0 117 53 643 1302 1582 470 16
VCDI 0 49 35 217 660 2236 14188 22440
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9432 1958 8 88 16 0 0 0
OW 395 1602 106 190 38 1 0 0
VODI 58 433 152 953 166 16 0 0
ODI 0 101 44 666 468 123 15 0
CDI 0 127 50 679 1407 1515 360 21
VCDI 0 79 41 213 666 2316 14293 22435

Date: 2024-05-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9725 3056 15 34 13 0 0 0
OW 181 1442 336 297 45 0 0 0
VODI 0 142 93 1480 316 12 0 0
ODI 0 55 30 481 1010 88 2 0
CDI 0 35 44 385 1340 2079 196 11
VCDI 0 0 0 20 403 2500 18239 17126
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9452 2105 8 57 23 0 0 0
OW 417 1713 108 166 27 1 0 0
VODI 37 501 186 812 167 8 2 0
ODI 0 195 72 622 544 58 10 0
CDI 0 133 95 791 1471 1415 448 11
VCDI 0 83 49 249 895 3197 17977 17126

Date: 2024-05-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10595 2791 26 74 3 0 0 0
OW 95 1286 256 390 50 1 0 0
VODI 0 224 198 1282 296 10 2 0
ODI 0 76 21 476 740 54 22 1
CDI 0 83 70 416 1364 1762 573 37
VCDI 0 0 0 106 609 3778 18533 14931
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10085 1828 14 84 2 0 0 0
OW 605 1488 83 184 26 3 0 0
VODI 0 599 249 690 170 11 2 0
ODI 0 236 81 643 452 40 32 0
CDI 0 185 76 743 1468 1291 604 8
VCDI 0 124 68 400 944 4260 18492 14961

Date: 2024-05-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11056 2498 22 75 1 0 0 0
OW 2 1337 208 378 26 2 0 0
VODI 0 355 191 1154 270 33 9 0
ODI 0 142 53 492 660 152 42 0
CDI 0 191 93 465 1376 1889 523 0
VCDI 0 0 13 167 730 4167 15211 17248
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10650 1751 19 90 1 0 0 0
OW 408 1251 55 186 14 7 0 0
VODI 0 760 161 662 150 30 5 0
ODI 0 330 93 659 432 91 47 0
CDI 0 281 182 780 1418 1266 582 7
VCDI 0 150 70 354 1048 4849 15151 17241


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