Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-05-23

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-05-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71521 13519 88 69 8 0 0 0
OW 6 2927 521 555 114 1 0 0
VODI 0 752 502 2532 642 76 13 0
ODI 0 82 88 1267 1818 344 40 0
CDI 0 80 75 997 3343 5240 1193 66
VCDI 0 0 0 99 1530 6137 31385 47113
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71647 13572 103 108 5 0 0 0
OW 64 2973 427 606 117 3 0 0
VODI 2 1035 581 2312 580 95 7 0
ODI 1 148 131 1145 1718 379 48 0
CDI 4 181 85 1183 3982 5662 1286 61
VCDI 0 94 25 427 2181 5648 31823 44294
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72279 14636 107 65 5 0 0 0
OW 20 3414 903 844 44 3 0 0
VODI 3 148 358 3079 604 48 2 0
ODI 2 28 29 795 2611 285 20 5
CDI 0 46 25 698 3714 7276 692 41
VCDI 0 2 12 150 1124 5694 34003 40929
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72977 14441 128 144 5 0 0 0
OW 320 3129 767 875 63 8 0 0
VODI 14 411 346 2570 601 90 9 0
ODI 2 54 31 1151 2056 304 38 3
CDI 0 88 37 899 3883 6987 1550 40
VCDI 0 58 28 274 1497 6491 32961 39413
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72946 14473 161 179 6 0 0 0
OW 334 2939 643 777 56 8 0 0
VODI 30 533 424 2382 554 89 8 0
ODI 2 62 38 1225 1934 311 46 4
CDI 1 95 42 1117 4058 6999 1491 38
VCDI 0 79 29 233 1497 6473 33013 39414

Date: 2024-05-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73150 14663 137 165 25 0 0 0
OW 385 3134 543 938 96 7 0 0
VODI 2 412 301 2339 725 56 0 3
ODI 1 106 70 1256 2010 367 43 8
CDI 0 117 56 967 3911 8176 1468 82
VCDI 0 49 35 251 1490 6792 30991 39416
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73067 14710 172 212 25 0 0 0
OW 409 2846 469 824 110 10 0 0
VODI 60 598 330 2180 689 50 2 3
ODI 2 120 70 1336 1806 309 49 7
CDI 0 128 60 1114 4146 8013 1527 115
VCDI 0 79 41 250 1481 7016 30924 39384

Date: 2024-05-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73656 16086 121 124 18 0 0 0
OW 181 2510 902 759 87 2 0 0
VODI 0 187 181 3538 847 36 4 0
ODI 0 64 37 1006 3206 270 29 0
CDI 0 36 46 539 3758 9358 808 11
VCDI 0 0 0 23 933 6207 38736 30437
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73375 14488 125 158 28 0 0 0
OW 421 3155 452 590 94 7 1 0
VODI 40 744 420 2108 675 67 20 0
ODI 1 257 116 1468 1894 268 70 0
CDI 0 156 125 1386 4419 7493 2720 347
VCDI 0 83 49 279 1739 8038 36766 30101

Date: 2024-05-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74519 15557 162 182 5 0 0 0
OW 96 2606 650 874 152 5 1 0
VODI 0 397 431 3167 867 65 12 0
ODI 0 102 39 1094 3022 349 37 1
CDI 0 87 75 683 4431 8383 1387 40
VCDI 0 0 0 147 1456 8631 37397 27634
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74005 14183 185 199 4 0 0 0
OW 608 2847 344 749 114 7 1 0
VODI 1 950 451 1965 716 88 13 0
ODI 1 364 162 1355 2024 316 73 3
CDI 0 278 144 1411 4936 7778 2857 473
VCDI 0 127 71 468 2139 9244 35890 27199

Date: 2024-05-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75403 14633 149 183 3 4 0 0
OW 3 2846 594 874 133 11 0 0
VODI 0 637 462 3051 868 100 11 0
ODI 0 168 98 1381 2933 525 47 0
CDI 0 192 95 937 4952 8150 1370 0
VCDI 0 0 13 278 1798 8912 33650 29279
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74994 13683 216 321 11 4 0 0
OW 410 2552 338 798 128 20 0 0
VODI 2 1138 328 1958 670 124 9 0
ODI 0 553 182 1434 1937 389 114 0
CDI 0 392 267 1674 5370 6992 3492 1746
VCDI 0 158 80 519 2571 10173 31463 27533


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