Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-05-16

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-05-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61422 12796 142 133 2 0 0 0
OW 9 1605 339 520 65 0 0 0
VODI 0 144 228 1148 330 31 0 0
ODI 0 21 18 627 973 159 18 0
CDI 0 29 13 224 1833 3210 984 3
VCDI 0 6 9 103 515 1804 5488 5465
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62012 12305 88 78 2 0 0 0
OW 10 1724 323 377 63 5 0 0
VODI 0 390 320 984 307 63 2 0
ODI 0 59 90 773 900 238 19 0
CDI 0 61 42 434 2216 2937 696 0
VCDI 0 3 12 123 402 2358 5374 4626
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62297 12680 98 55 0 0 0 0
OW 13 1625 470 415 28 6 0 0
VODI 0 140 234 1630 344 23 0 0
ODI 0 31 23 504 1328 173 1 0
CDI 0 17 27 205 1723 4010 616 0
VCDI 0 0 1 33 167 1326 6022 4151
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63229 11903 55 42 0 0 0 0
OW 68 1712 416 383 65 0 0 0
VODI 3 263 293 1429 386 63 1 0
ODI 3 24 53 530 1095 188 11 0
CDI 4 1 4 375 1621 3267 1057 4
VCDI 0 0 0 14 197 1502 6339 3816
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63225 12003 55 53 0 0 0 0
OW 70 1572 418 385 65 0 0 0
VODI 5 303 289 1394 422 55 0 0
ODI 3 25 56 578 1039 157 13 0
CDI 4 0 3 347 1651 3299 1091 28
VCDI 0 0 0 16 187 1509 6304 3792

Date: 2024-05-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63034 12220 83 54 0 0 0 0
OW 63 1642 386 443 68 0 0 0
VODI 5 248 262 1379 345 69 4 0
ODI 1 32 42 512 1028 128 18 0
CDI 4 2 7 357 2086 3540 692 62
VCDI 0 0 0 57 292 1346 5211 4694
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63033 12300 87 62 1 0 0 0
OW 66 1526 384 434 59 0 0 0
VODI 3 280 254 1352 393 57 7 0
ODI 1 36 48 551 974 127 13 0
CDI 4 2 7 358 2135 3478 896 267
VCDI 0 0 0 45 257 1421 5009 4489

Date: 2024-05-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62865 13128 101 64 0 0 0 0
OW 24 1292 571 529 14 0 0 0
VODI 5 16 85 1827 342 9 1 0
ODI 2 0 2 341 1615 105 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 108 1596 4910 306 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 33 573 4773 5168
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62803 12478 94 69 9 0 0 0
OW 86 1563 321 462 58 2 0 0
VODI 2 321 244 1274 354 70 8 0
ODI 1 66 68 608 919 158 23 0
CDI 4 8 32 443 2025 4200 850 37
VCDI 0 0 0 21 235 1167 4202 5131

Date: 2024-05-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63684 12524 89 39 0 0 0 0
OW 12 1334 566 522 10 2 0 0
VODI 3 58 131 1476 340 32 1 0
ODI 2 1 5 431 1353 113 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 134 1832 4472 551 0
VCDI 0 0 0 31 204 1508 3871 5083
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63647 11820 107 91 14 0 0 0
OW 47 1620 324 373 70 29 2 0
VODI 2 381 281 1048 295 87 18 0
ODI 1 61 41 669 789 128 25 0
CDI 4 35 38 411 2138 4212 1020 1
VCDI 0 0 0 41 433 1671 3360 5082

Date: 2024-05-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63564 12601 105 124 3 0 0 0
OW 17 1321 401 604 68 3 0 0
VODI 2 109 177 1214 465 34 0 0
ODI 1 11 16 562 1096 167 2 0
CDI 0 0 2 241 1851 4146 812 0
VCDI 0 0 0 32 325 1723 3186 5431
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63526 11937 114 156 25 0 0 0
OW 51 1488 237 466 119 8 0 0
VODI 2 494 210 855 441 87 1 0
ODI 2 96 94 697 741 212 25 0
CDI 3 27 46 531 2006 3833 1200 0
VCDI 0 0 0 72 476 1933 2774 5431


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