Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-05-16

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-05-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6969 1907 14 38 0 0 0 0
OW 0 635 141 262 49 0 0 0
VODI 0 103 82 776 457 21 2 0
ODI 0 64 23 235 971 195 25 2
CDI 0 26 38 320 1238 1427 627 70
VCDI 0 0 3 215 1088 4203 15287 23718
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6936 1827 11 21 1 0 0 0
OW 0 922 79 124 26 1 0 0
VODI 0 354 192 744 260 21 6 0
ODI 0 103 28 401 877 149 41 0
CDI 0 43 35 490 1606 1798 1113 8
VCDI 0 0 3 197 906 3229 16064 22615
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7114 2071 13 45 5 0 0 0
OW 0 1185 189 264 43 1 0 0
VODI 0 145 155 1127 260 14 0 0
ODI 0 19 34 406 1163 96 1 0
CDI 0 2 18 491 1552 1716 253 1
VCDI 0 0 0 45 403 2481 14335 25584
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7932 1612 15 35 8 0 0 0
OW 6 1187 80 181 56 0 0 0
VODI 0 374 214 1010 324 31 3 0
ODI 0 48 25 542 847 159 16 0
CDI 0 46 62 564 1199 1176 385 0
VCDI 0 1 0 57 741 2960 14702 24633
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7935 1627 21 44 19 0 0 0
OW 3 1170 88 187 65 1 0 0
VODI 0 375 187 917 287 32 3 0
ODI 0 41 41 610 877 147 15 0
CDI 0 55 59 586 1183 1182 370 7
VCDI 0 0 0 45 744 2964 14718 24626

Date: 2024-05-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8494 1275 8 31 7 0 0 0
OW 3 1198 66 157 54 0 0 0
VODI 0 580 260 977 255 13 5 0
ODI 0 61 48 643 717 190 31 0
CDI 0 98 54 584 1242 1187 372 7
VCDI 0 0 0 94 688 2843 16835 22154
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8494 1316 22 41 15 0 0 0
OW 3 1171 61 184 68 0 0 0
VODI 0 540 235 895 230 13 7 0
ODI 0 81 65 684 706 192 30 0
CDI 0 104 53 616 1237 1120 388 21
VCDI 0 0 0 66 707 2908 16818 22140

Date: 2024-05-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8590 1827 12 34 3 0 0 0
OW 0 1868 356 265 35 1 0 0
VODI 0 72 60 1545 221 14 0 0
ODI 0 25 25 350 1114 135 2 0
CDI 0 28 22 473 1707 1931 190 0
VCDI 0 0 0 24 391 3334 15343 21234
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8578 1465 10 43 17 0 0 0
OW 12 1274 54 155 51 1 0 0
VODI 0 699 254 868 197 20 1 0
ODI 0 99 52 703 744 176 14 0
CDI 0 226 66 617 1567 1298 330 0
VCDI 0 57 39 305 895 3920 15190 21234

Date: 2024-05-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8912 1869 24 76 4 0 0 0
OW 37 2054 203 319 35 2 0 0
VODI 0 270 186 1127 200 24 0 0
ODI 0 32 23 423 798 157 14 0
CDI 0 59 34 569 1530 1692 262 3
VCDI 0 31 21 199 618 2984 15756 20684
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8894 1439 21 68 6 0 0 0
OW 55 1278 81 184 46 1 0 0
VODI 0 1014 189 771 199 28 3 0
ODI 0 205 70 536 680 130 19 0
CDI 0 150 79 799 1390 1527 674 3
VCDI 0 229 51 355 864 3173 15336 20684

Date: 2024-05-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9459 1926 10 81 8 0 0 0
OW 391 1720 162 265 36 1 0 0
VODI 24 294 133 1024 188 22 0 0
ODI 0 67 53 541 546 125 7 0
CDI 0 87 59 701 1341 1611 429 7
VCDI 0 53 32 220 638 2423 14387 22160
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9337 1199 8 100 5 0 0 0
OW 278 1068 62 191 42 2 1 0
VODI 243 1174 163 691 170 18 19 0
ODI 16 147 55 632 460 127 58 3
CDI 0 196 97 774 1163 1433 1075 19
VCDI 0 363 64 444 917 2602 13670 22145


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