Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-05-09

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-05-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60407 12324 85 153 7 0 0 0
OW 49 1841 407 465 26 0 0 0
VODI 0 278 286 1225 347 5 0 0
ODI 0 26 46 685 1097 105 13 0
CDI 0 24 16 209 2226 4050 1292 4
VCDI 0 1 4 46 312 1380 5428 5547
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61028 12040 42 101 0 0 0 0
OW 26 1957 406 384 42 0 0 0
VODI 0 402 320 1077 276 34 2 0
ODI 0 27 62 630 942 95 21 0
CDI 0 19 21 280 1972 3591 1476 1
VCDI 0 0 3 59 232 1877 5318 5653
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62015 12176 78 37 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1573 568 430 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 34 164 1484 296 9 0 0
ODI 0 1 11 381 1231 82 4 0
CDI 0 11 15 92 1678 3947 793 1
VCDI 0 0 0 14 230 1496 6480 5083
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61625 12498 166 122 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1558 427 513 63 1 0 0
VODI 0 81 207 1202 394 27 0 0
ODI 0 11 11 451 1094 160 21 0
CDI 0 23 16 147 1880 3515 997 0
VCDI 0 1 0 56 438 1540 5874 5297
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61625 12407 165 135 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1654 438 515 73 1 0 0
VODI 0 76 202 1165 374 24 0 0
ODI 0 12 6 515 1098 175 26 0
CDI 0 22 16 104 1867 3531 1065 1
VCDI 0 1 0 57 457 1512 5801 5296

Date: 2024-05-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61948 12382 99 106 7 0 0 0
OW 8 1671 345 412 63 2 0 0
VODI 0 252 296 1077 290 39 3 0
ODI 0 27 33 731 923 208 24 0
CDI 0 45 15 286 2012 2837 821 1
VCDI 0 15 11 101 455 2377 5618 4876
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61948 12359 120 125 12 0 0 0
OW 8 1713 336 412 69 0 0 0
VODI 0 235 291 1058 272 39 3 0
ODI 0 29 28 743 941 200 26 0
CDI 0 35 10 266 1980 2895 872 2
VCDI 0 21 14 109 476 2329 5565 4875

Date: 2024-05-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62297 12745 90 46 0 0 0 0
OW 6 1560 589 383 27 1 0 0
VODI 0 61 134 1730 329 28 0 0
ODI 0 29 16 422 1571 144 0 0
CDI 0 7 10 189 1702 3908 437 0
VCDI 0 0 0 26 135 1297 6660 3837
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62294 11999 117 62 5 0 0 0
OW 9 1713 243 359 84 11 0 0
VODI 0 485 310 889 335 65 4 0
ODI 0 136 105 838 859 233 26 0
CDI 0 68 54 540 2104 2837 954 0
VCDI 0 1 10 108 377 2232 6113 3837

Date: 2024-05-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62864 12124 96 34 0 0 0 0
OW 4 1733 407 416 43 0 0 0
VODI 0 189 306 1579 325 21 0 0
ODI 0 34 25 544 1301 119 2 0
CDI 0 12 23 272 1947 3670 690 0
VCDI 0 1 0 24 141 1321 5917 4232
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62801 11326 99 66 1 0 0 0
OW 62 1556 260 365 75 5 0 0
VODI 5 727 228 961 296 56 5 0
ODI 0 327 131 757 1007 275 53 0
CDI 0 148 123 608 2068 2881 760 3
VCDI 0 9 16 112 310 1914 5791 4229

Date: 2024-05-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63105 12125 72 41 0 0 0 0
OW 6 1715 425 383 54 1 0 0
VODI 0 241 269 1452 360 56 3 0
ODI 0 25 40 571 1025 155 16 0
CDI 0 10 12 336 1784 3432 726 40
VCDI 0 0 0 31 263 1471 5761 4410
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63012 11225 124 99 11 1 1 0
OW 70 1586 202 405 58 7 8 0
VODI 29 831 259 857 294 97 19 0
ODI 0 362 126 685 1042 578 207 0
CDI 0 112 106 693 1545 2200 826 0
VCDI 0 0 1 75 536 2232 5445 4450


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