Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-05-09

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-05-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 22 127 0 1 1 0 0 0
OW 0 1 0 13 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 32 47 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 4 55 11 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 196 286 140 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 139 1605 12497 17894
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 146 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 4 0 7 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 5 72 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 2 73 12 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 238 381 227 8
VCDI 0 0 0 17 197 1208 13255 17218
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 147 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 3 0 2 4 1 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 21 31 8 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 22 148 17 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 26 281 340 85 7
VCDI 0 0 0 29 289 1585 12844 17203
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 32 115 0 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 3 0 17 4 1 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 69 27 2 4 0
ODI 0 0 0 42 81 20 11 0
CDI 0 0 0 25 262 275 149 0
VCDI 0 0 0 41 350 1867 13180 16517
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 32 118 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 16 4 1 1 0
VODI 0 0 0 63 24 6 4 0
ODI 0 0 0 55 84 18 13 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 268 317 173 0
VCDI 0 0 0 41 344 1823 13153 16517

Date: 2024-05-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73 76 0 14 0 0 0 0
OW 0 2 0 38 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 4 98 16 7 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 24 57 24 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 32 252 392 57 2
VCDI 0 0 0 61 547 1986 12093 17230
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73 77 0 17 1 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 38 6 1 1 0
VODI 0 1 3 86 13 6 1 0
ODI 0 1 1 40 53 33 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 24 245 430 61 1
VCDI 0 0 0 62 559 1939 12089 17231

Date: 2024-05-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 105 45 0 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 14 2 46 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 3 91 26 2 5 0
ODI 0 0 0 31 106 16 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 104 280 692 54 1
VCDI 0 0 0 55 558 1494 12580 16762
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 105 45 0 9 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 50 11 0 1 0
VODI 0 4 0 61 19 3 6 0
ODI 0 12 4 32 70 30 4 0
CDI 0 0 1 58 258 457 75 7
VCDI 0 0 0 128 618 1714 12558 16756

Date: 2024-05-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 17 13 30 8 0 1 0
VODI 0 15 7 78 29 3 6 0
ODI 0 0 1 40 82 21 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 120 340 560 60 1
VCDI 0 0 0 41 543 1412 10025 19489
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 0 0 1 4 0 0 0
OW 0 9 9 22 19 2 1 0
VODI 0 4 7 53 43 14 5 0
ODI 0 17 1 44 72 34 14 0
CDI 0 2 4 87 378 476 61 3
VCDI 0 0 0 102 486 1470 10015 19487

Date: 2024-05-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 1 1 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 30 18 23 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 16 18 53 21 3 5 0
ODI 0 1 5 55 43 19 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 88 384 578 75 17
VCDI 0 0 0 29 512 1427 9927 19586
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 1 0 2 17 0 0 0
OW 0 7 3 23 13 3 4 0
VODI 0 10 24 54 29 13 12 1
ODI 0 28 9 18 50 39 16 4
CDI 0 2 6 105 415 583 137 23
VCDI 0 0 0 47 439 1389 9845 19575


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