Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-05-09

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-05-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7045 1385 15 23 4 0 0 0
OW 41 922 65 131 52 0 3 0
VODI 0 137 112 387 199 27 23 0
ODI 0 13 14 213 446 112 33 0
CDI 0 36 18 199 1446 1161 361 6
VCDI 0 10 16 200 1102 3370 13792 28112
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7011 1406 6 37 3 0 0 0
OW 0 978 101 197 43 0 0 0
VODI 0 189 115 415 216 38 3 0
ODI 0 64 60 252 441 119 31 0
CDI 0 127 41 403 1238 1209 396 0
VCDI 0 64 32 311 1417 4334 15515 24419
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6909 1879 30 92 8 0 0 0
OW 0 665 142 245 43 2 0 0
VODI 0 84 101 829 346 28 4 0
ODI 0 46 19 253 970 129 25 0
CDI 0 30 27 275 1034 1469 552 0
VCDI 0 0 0 104 841 3146 14432 26472
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6884 1954 17 53 10 0 0 0
OW 0 591 86 309 132 4 0 0
VODI 0 107 80 516 708 47 1 0
ODI 0 42 27 165 905 313 9 0
CDI 0 27 25 312 1194 1270 540 4
VCDI 0 0 0 196 1028 3964 15488 24223
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6884 1959 17 112 27 0 0 0
OW 0 572 96 288 145 5 0 0
VODI 0 118 74 472 652 45 0 0
ODI 0 45 22 153 907 342 9 0
CDI 0 27 26 321 1192 1239 614 7
VCDI 0 0 0 205 1054 3967 15415 24220

Date: 2024-05-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6968 1853 8 31 3 0 0 0
OW 0 780 100 182 42 1 0 0
VODI 0 242 166 748 304 20 3 0
ODI 0 87 18 290 1012 111 41 1
CDI 0 49 44 408 1412 1782 887 11
VCDI 0 0 3 138 952 3429 14375 24730
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6968 1887 17 42 9 0 0 0
OW 0 738 106 207 42 1 0 0
VODI 0 252 151 686 289 24 6 0
ODI 0 84 20 304 1041 158 58 2
CDI 0 50 42 418 1392 1827 1029 55
VCDI 0 0 3 140 952 3333 14213 24685

Date: 2024-05-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6965 2095 19 13 1 0 0 0
OW 0 1125 278 229 27 1 0 0
VODI 0 67 63 1262 248 15 0 0
ODI 0 35 26 525 1335 120 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 277 1752 2077 204 1
VCDI 0 0 0 47 368 2382 15042 24631
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6965 1807 8 16 0 0 0 0
OW 0 901 107 189 33 1 0 0
VODI 0 416 171 688 232 19 7 0
ODI 0 113 46 560 825 158 62 0
CDI 0 81 40 600 1778 1517 758 35
VCDI 0 4 14 300 863 2900 14420 24597

Date: 2024-05-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7658 1764 13 32 13 0 0 0
OW 1 1261 92 173 62 0 0 0
VODI 0 244 202 973 333 10 1 0
ODI 0 38 28 458 984 80 7 0
CDI 0 23 29 537 1434 1389 321 3
VCDI 0 0 0 30 692 2544 14165 25637
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7658 1309 7 18 0 0 0 0
OW 1 1052 48 87 25 0 0 0
VODI 0 637 165 580 239 5 3 2
ODI 0 141 52 679 825 96 17 6
CDI 0 152 69 497 1428 1123 483 87
VCDI 0 39 23 342 1001 2799 13991 25545

Date: 2024-05-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8266 1393 15 27 8 0 0 0
OW 0 1182 78 149 57 0 0 0
VODI 0 495 215 1027 261 17 5 0
ODI 0 56 43 641 750 170 17 0
CDI 0 70 63 573 1175 1230 392 9
VCDI 0 0 0 39 755 3239 15697 23117
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8193 690 8 21 7 0 0 0
OW 73 1133 30 59 29 7 1 0
VODI 0 817 158 694 207 74 16 0
ODI 0 262 95 828 559 208 52 1
CDI 0 210 61 391 1178 1070 912 167
VCDI 0 84 62 463 1026 3297 15130 22958


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