Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-05-02

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-04-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12 92 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 4 39 0 0 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 0 6 13 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 24 15 0 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 63 23 0 30 5
VCDI 0 0 0 111 254 321 5053 27025
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 45 74 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 9 22 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 13 4 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 35 32 1 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 70 75 4 49 10
VCDI 0 0 0 7 160 352 7851 24281
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93 57 0 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 7 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 62 11 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 51 22 6 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 36 167 100 44 3
VCDI 0 0 0 0 42 961 11185 20243
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76 74 0 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 4 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 44 33 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 27 38 12 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 220 198 92 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 94 1835 13017 17304
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76 73 0 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 0 7 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 40 33 2 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 27 34 12 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 225 207 157 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 93 1826 12949 17303

Date: 2024-05-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2 144 0 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 4 0 19 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 32 46 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 9 57 9 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 219 336 185 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 188 1461 13007 17358
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2 142 0 5 1 0 0 0
OW 0 6 0 14 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 33 45 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 11 54 12 11 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 220 353 249 5
VCDI 0 0 0 0 189 1441 12938 17353

Date: 2024-05-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 146 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 4 0 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 2 45 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 3 156 16 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 235 453 64 5
VCDI 0 0 0 7 172 1186 13276 17301
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 148 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 2 0 0 16 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 1 76 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 2 74 16 3 1
CDI 0 0 0 5 209 400 409 16
VCDI 0 0 0 17 233 1242 12931 17289

Date: 2024-05-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 148 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 2 0 5 4 2 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 38 24 6 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 36 128 14 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 264 311 152 8
VCDI 0 0 0 24 342 1687 12101 17777
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 150 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 9 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 32 54 7 3 4
ODI 0 0 0 33 69 18 5 10
CDI 0 0 0 12 251 276 187 51
VCDI 0 0 0 28 378 1719 12070 17720

Date: 2024-05-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70 78 0 8 0 0 0 0
OW 0 2 0 29 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 98 22 4 5 0
ODI 0 0 0 39 45 28 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 26 227 379 73 0
VCDI 0 0 0 54 409 2009 13003 16481
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70 80 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 13 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 86 43 1 3 0
ODI 0 0 0 72 27 8 17 0
CDI 0 0 0 26 175 422 148 0
VCDI 0 0 0 57 457 1989 12916 16481


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