Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-04-25

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-04-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58012 13217 87 80 64 0 0 0
OW 0 1159 367 474 69 4 0 0
VODI 0 200 229 1095 469 27 0 0
ODI 0 32 71 483 1017 235 2 0
CDI 0 26 45 306 1243 2081 793 0
VCDI 0 0 1 81 405 1877 8678 7487
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58508 12274 43 131 44 0 0 0
OW 0 1533 301 284 135 15 0 0
VODI 0 541 270 1020 434 65 0 0
ODI 0 147 93 574 750 277 7 0
CDI 0 126 67 373 1574 1882 458 0
VCDI 0 66 42 169 500 2317 8834 6562
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58983 12483 52 125 16 0 0 0
OW 53 1797 376 319 68 2 0 0
VODI 8 203 230 1360 307 20 0 0
ODI 0 73 31 564 1008 99 3 0
CDI 0 110 70 264 1854 2628 420 0
VCDI 0 3 13 125 393 2811 6916 6629
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58699 12952 118 121 5 0 0 0
OW 2 1732 278 381 59 4 0 0
VODI 0 521 224 1108 278 19 0 0
ODI 0 237 114 525 735 133 5 0
CDI 0 228 137 624 1696 2722 638 0
VCDI 0 6 20 319 583 2234 7278 5681
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58696 13045 120 133 7 0 0 0
OW 5 1617 269 381 51 3 0 0
VODI 0 516 225 1069 281 20 0 0
ODI 0 260 118 527 653 157 5 0
CDI 0 237 147 675 1807 2717 621 0
VCDI 0 1 12 293 557 2215 7295 5681

Date: 2024-04-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59123 12647 85 72 8 0 0 0
OW 0 1654 316 420 35 5 0 0
VODI 0 607 264 940 312 35 2 0
ODI 0 283 116 702 699 132 27 0
CDI 0 201 156 789 1838 2863 761 2
VCDI 0 8 5 182 521 2638 6846 5122
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59123 12737 85 76 6 0 0 0
OW 0 1524 317 386 33 5 0 0
VODI 0 609 270 943 320 40 3 0
ODI 0 306 109 686 626 178 33 0
CDI 0 222 158 851 1935 2768 700 5
VCDI 0 2 3 163 493 2682 6900 5119

Date: 2024-04-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60012 12457 87 85 5 0 0 0
OW 37 2015 524 410 22 0 0 0
VODI 0 199 160 1437 263 5 0 0
ODI 0 70 100 797 1415 104 14 0
CDI 0 15 12 153 1842 4459 454 0
VCDI 0 0 0 42 259 2066 6071 4825
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59978 11810 93 72 10 1 0 0
OW 61 1539 294 360 50 8 0 0
VODI 10 790 200 780 287 42 8 0
ODI 0 373 110 741 644 177 50 0
CDI 0 233 174 869 2278 3498 1224 0
VCDI 0 11 12 102 537 2908 5257 4825

Date: 2024-05-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59624 12827 117 88 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1951 464 489 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 247 249 1311 228 18 2 0
ODI 0 37 48 838 1181 172 52 0
CDI 0 21 13 186 2085 4584 981 0
VCDI 0 0 1 61 257 1539 5701 5026
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59619 12014 94 73 3 0 0 0
OW 5 1614 205 334 30 7 0 0
VODI 0 943 275 681 273 56 5 0
ODI 0 323 175 848 635 292 106 0
CDI 0 173 131 943 2484 3790 1242 0
VCDI 0 16 12 94 344 2168 5383 5026

Date: 2024-05-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60407 12324 85 153 7 0 0 0
OW 49 1841 407 465 26 0 0 0
VODI 0 278 286 1225 347 5 0 0
ODI 0 26 46 685 1097 105 13 0
CDI 0 24 16 209 2226 4050 1292 4
VCDI 0 1 4 46 312 1380 5428 5547
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60307 11266 69 93 0 0 0 0
OW 133 1607 182 357 44 5 1 0
VODI 16 1106 272 633 302 50 15 0
ODI 0 337 177 772 764 382 126 0
CDI 0 163 132 845 2454 3417 1410 1
VCDI 0 15 12 83 451 1686 5181 5550


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