Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-04-25

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-04-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4863 2614 14 18 0 0 0 0
OW 31 569 93 330 38 0 0 0
VODI 0 33 1 241 554 24 0 0
ODI 0 4 1 51 241 444 17 0
CDI 0 6 4 99 322 762 857 1
VCDI 0 4 12 165 817 3509 12462 32030
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4978 2442 23 27 6 0 0 0
OW 23 663 116 202 58 0 0 0
VODI 0 25 28 444 401 54 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 42 525 147 73 0
CDI 0 0 0 66 409 761 490 1
VCDI 0 0 0 57 829 4321 12066 31953
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5361 2499 19 18 0 0 0 0
OW 5 534 96 102 17 7 0 0
VODI 0 10 31 483 221 26 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 31 630 131 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 429 1817 114 20
VCDI 0 0 0 0 368 3150 10434 34677
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6037 2114 22 18 0 0 0 0
OW 0 591 75 65 30 1 0 0
VODI 0 132 87 379 208 16 0 0
ODI 0 2 4 197 306 114 9 1
CDI 0 1 1 75 620 1209 208 30
VCDI 0 0 1 65 560 3224 14609 30220
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6037 2141 24 28 0 0 0 0
OW 0 536 70 75 41 1 0 0
VODI 0 158 83 302 205 24 0 0
ODI 0 3 11 239 318 101 10 2
CDI 0 2 1 88 623 1225 213 32
VCDI 0 0 1 67 537 3213 14603 30217

Date: 2024-04-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6212 1933 13 17 0 0 0 0
OW 4 659 41 81 25 0 0 0
VODI 0 224 102 353 197 6 0 0
ODI 0 12 10 225 267 115 12 3
CDI 0 3 0 64 937 1354 233 62
VCDI 0 5 1 62 811 4776 14107 28305
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6213 1961 16 30 0 0 0 0
OW 3 591 49 90 38 0 0 0
VODI 0 253 82 251 183 10 0 0
ODI 0 17 16 316 313 111 14 3
CDI 0 9 3 56 969 1449 244 64
VCDI 0 5 1 59 734 4681 14094 28303

Date: 2024-04-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6144 2143 11 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 799 157 92 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 31 570 154 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 106 618 94 22 2
CDI 0 0 0 47 865 1758 369 32
VCDI 0 0 0 25 358 3266 14670 28878
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6144 1934 11 15 0 0 0 0
OW 0 637 71 91 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 337 78 271 209 23 0 0
ODI 0 35 37 276 297 192 30 1
CDI 0 7 2 106 830 1526 694 34
VCDI 0 1 1 83 646 3380 14337 28877

Date: 2024-05-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6478 1864 11 4 1 0 0 0
OW 1 996 84 91 11 0 0 1
VODI 0 69 103 393 148 13 29 9
ODI 0 5 1 140 470 159 47 10
CDI 0 7 7 138 968 1607 512 45
VCDI 0 0 0 53 697 3183 13395 29481
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6479 1716 15 10 0 0 0 0
OW 0 677 52 83 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 464 76 196 192 38 12 7
ODI 0 68 50 215 310 197 35 14
CDI 0 12 5 156 944 1426 645 58
VCDI 0 4 8 159 837 3301 13291 29467

Date: 2024-05-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7045 1385 15 23 4 0 0 0
OW 41 922 65 131 52 0 3 0
VODI 0 137 112 387 199 27 23 0
ODI 0 13 14 213 446 112 33 0
CDI 0 36 18 199 1446 1161 361 6
VCDI 0 10 16 200 1102 3370 13792 28112
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6981 1320 12 33 15 0 0 0
OW 105 585 42 109 66 0 1 0
VODI 0 420 69 247 246 26 5 0
ODI 0 112 70 231 394 169 22 5
CDI 0 35 9 280 1244 1127 388 108
VCDI 0 31 38 253 1284 3348 13796 28005


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