Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-04-25

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-04-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62916 15894 101 98 64 0 0 0
OW 37 1764 460 804 107 4 0 0
VODI 0 237 230 1336 1026 51 0 0
ODI 0 36 72 534 1272 679 21 0
CDI 0 32 49 405 1626 2893 1851 4
VCDI 0 4 13 246 1263 5544 26056 67014
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63545 14772 66 158 50 0 0 0
OW 30 2224 417 486 193 15 0 0
VODI 0 566 298 1470 837 119 0 0
ODI 0 148 93 625 1282 424 80 0
CDI 0 126 67 454 2037 2726 1106 1
VCDI 0 66 42 226 1402 6768 28566 63258
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64367 15073 71 143 16 0 0 0
OW 60 2365 472 421 85 9 0 0
VODI 8 213 261 1848 536 46 0 0
ODI 0 73 31 605 1653 239 3 0
CDI 0 110 70 272 2315 4509 541 23
VCDI 0 3 13 125 838 6627 25081 65618
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64736 15168 140 139 5 0 0 0
OW 4 2367 353 446 89 5 0 0
VODI 0 655 311 1496 491 37 0 0
ODI 0 239 118 746 1057 248 16 1
CDI 0 229 138 764 2369 3933 861 43
VCDI 0 6 21 460 1404 5807 28162 61679
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64733 15289 144 161 7 0 0 0
OW 7 2195 339 456 92 4 0 0
VODI 0 677 308 1380 490 46 0 0
ODI 0 263 129 788 987 259 17 2
CDI 0 239 148 835 2487 3945 848 51
VCDI 0 1 13 431 1352 5776 28174 61670

Date: 2024-04-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65348 14674 98 89 8 0 0 0
OW 8 2352 357 501 61 6 0 0
VODI 0 831 366 1300 521 41 2 0
ODI 0 295 126 969 977 247 39 3
CDI 0 204 156 920 2820 4217 1006 100
VCDI 0 13 6 293 1553 7796 25243 61197
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65349 14790 101 106 6 0 0 0
OW 7 2152 366 476 71 5 0 0
VODI 0 866 352 1202 513 51 3 0
ODI 0 323 125 1034 955 289 47 3
CDI 0 231 161 993 2961 4218 956 119
VCDI 0 7 4 261 1434 7744 25284 61178

Date: 2024-04-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66222 14672 98 87 5 0 0 0
OW 41 2822 681 503 32 0 0 0
VODI 0 208 191 2067 433 9 0 0
ODI 0 70 101 952 2078 198 37 2
CDI 0 15 12 218 2867 6256 872 51
VCDI 0 0 0 67 682 5954 29470 56770
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66182 13812 104 87 10 1 0 0
OW 71 2188 365 452 70 8 0 0
VODI 10 1127 278 1065 510 65 8 0
ODI 0 408 147 1047 961 370 84 5
CDI 0 240 176 1039 3181 5036 1981 65
VCDI 0 12 13 204 1365 6937 28306 56753

Date: 2024-05-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66199 14744 128 94 1 0 0 0
OW 1 2947 548 589 35 0 0 1
VODI 0 316 352 1756 393 32 32 9
ODI 0 42 49 1034 1663 340 102 10
CDI 0 28 20 339 3224 6405 1566 45
VCDI 0 0 1 114 985 6330 32282 51987
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66195 13781 109 83 3 0 0 0
OW 5 2293 257 423 42 7 0 0
VODI 0 1407 351 887 476 98 17 7
ODI 0 391 225 1091 964 497 147 14
CDI 0 185 136 1151 3536 5342 2006 58
VCDI 0 20 20 291 1280 7163 31812 51973

Date: 2024-05-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67474 13836 100 177 12 0 0 0
OW 90 2764 472 609 89 0 3 0
VODI 0 415 398 1644 593 36 23 0
ODI 0 39 60 902 1598 228 53 0
CDI 0 60 34 410 3868 5497 1793 11
VCDI 0 11 20 246 1553 6355 31717 51553
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67310 12709 81 127 15 0 0 0
OW 238 2197 224 471 114 5 2 0
VODI 16 1526 341 889 561 84 20 0
ODI 0 449 247 1029 1191 566 156 11
CDI 0 198 141 1133 3887 4719 2017 124
VCDI 0 46 50 339 1945 6742 31394 51429


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