Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-04-18

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-04-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4933 2472 19 4 0 0 0 0
OW 0 603 74 190 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 160 113 318 158 22 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 155 289 129 57 5
CDI 0 0 0 1 409 687 502 46
VCDI 0 0 0 1 328 4266 10719 34563
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4999 2339 7 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 703 68 135 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 276 83 320 155 38 2 0
ODI 0 0 6 200 345 115 31 0
CDI 0 0 0 25 640 458 336 3
VCDI 0 0 0 87 596 3197 10022 36033
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5339 2556 28 14 0 0 0 0
OW 0 742 129 181 11 1 0 0
VODI 0 56 39 383 173 10 0 0
ODI 0 4 5 94 371 136 3 0
CDI 0 1 2 84 388 670 241 3
VCDI 0 0 1 202 563 2344 9356 37101
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5113 2496 21 13 0 0 0 0
OW 48 596 118 280 27 0 0 0
VODI 2 35 10 324 345 28 0 0
ODI 0 6 1 52 363 230 9 0
CDI 0 4 6 112 463 811 652 0
VCDI 0 0 1 163 756 2981 9077 36088
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5117 2503 23 15 1 0 0 0
OW 45 597 97 266 28 0 0 0
VODI 1 28 29 315 334 26 0 0
ODI 0 6 1 60 342 239 4 0
CDI 0 3 6 129 509 810 568 0
VCDI 0 0 1 159 740 2975 9166 36088

Date: 2024-04-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4993 2439 17 17 0 0 0 0
OW 21 676 132 211 41 0 0 0
VODI 0 24 12 407 418 23 0 0
ODI 0 3 2 50 438 292 13 0
CDI 0 4 7 85 357 944 721 1
VCDI 0 0 7 209 855 4025 12419 31368
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4993 2497 19 23 0 0 0 0
OW 21 620 122 204 33 0 0 0
VODI 0 22 20 399 409 29 0 0
ODI 0 3 2 49 427 264 17 0
CDI 0 3 7 98 379 963 576 0
VCDI 0 1 7 206 861 4028 12560 31369

Date: 2024-04-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5088 2646 13 26 0 0 0 0
OW 11 429 161 151 18 4 0 0
VODI 0 6 2 479 278 20 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 27 760 115 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 481 1784 189 4
VCDI 0 0 0 0 303 3054 13109 32064
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5078 2452 19 44 3 3 0 0
OW 21 592 111 163 95 3 0 0
VODI 0 37 46 437 332 47 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 17 530 150 46 0
CDI 0 0 0 29 384 751 360 3
VCDI 0 0 0 2 496 4023 12892 32065

Date: 2024-04-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5777 2239 20 22 0 0 0 0
OW 2 582 76 75 24 0 0 0
VODI 0 71 88 429 196 31 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 151 418 119 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 55 587 1316 111 14
VCDI 0 0 0 46 578 3378 10729 34096
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5775 2082 18 30 2 0 0 0
OW 4 695 59 129 59 2 0 0
VODI 0 115 107 353 229 60 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 144 327 133 13 0
CDI 0 0 0 52 483 725 185 7
VCDI 0 0 0 70 703 3924 10643 34103

Date: 2024-04-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6191 2012 14 15 0 0 0 0
OW 0 631 58 70 39 0 0 0
VODI 0 181 97 321 219 12 0 0
ODI 0 5 10 260 241 115 18 4
CDI 0 3 1 154 790 1154 204 34
VCDI 0 1 1 145 1350 4032 15232 27617
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6187 1969 27 8 1 0 0 0
OW 4 645 53 140 86 1 0 0
VODI 0 198 83 244 154 40 0 0
ODI 0 14 16 243 233 93 9 0
CDI 0 3 0 136 605 862 206 11
VCDI 0 4 2 194 1560 4317 15239 27644


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