Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-04-18

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-04-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62369 15959 200 150 16 0 0 0
OW 0 1664 431 669 104 1 0 0
VODI 0 355 362 1422 468 64 0 0
ODI 0 26 30 816 1220 300 70 6
CDI 0 12 18 328 2298 3061 1120 49
VCDI 0 0 0 26 542 6091 26966 67530
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62640 15343 105 119 25 0 0 0
OW 0 2110 289 569 94 2 0 0
VODI 0 635 423 1232 609 94 2 0
ODI 0 68 127 889 1334 325 39 0
CDI 0 31 51 552 1906 2584 1100 15
VCDI 0 0 0 172 1013 5621 25594 69031
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63441 15820 136 112 6 0 0 0
OW 0 2154 569 600 71 3 0 0
VODI 0 181 296 1708 571 13 0 0
ODI 0 38 24 619 1702 197 7 0
CDI 0 2 15 339 1768 2753 514 6
VCDI 0 0 1 207 744 4754 21016 74356
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62927 16032 111 109 18 0 0 0
OW 53 1789 579 673 97 3 0 0
VODI 3 199 248 1540 875 35 0 0
ODI 0 31 44 585 1430 416 24 2
CDI 0 30 36 364 1726 2785 1516 24
VCDI 0 1 8 213 1140 5274 19932 73871
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62931 16176 149 116 26 0 0 0
OW 51 1645 533 716 99 0 0 0
VODI 1 199 253 1441 814 36 0 0
ODI 0 35 48 608 1396 373 17 3
CDI 0 26 32 389 1866 2893 1551 23
VCDI 0 1 11 214 1085 5211 19904 73871

Date: 2024-04-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63281 15315 75 150 28 0 0 0
OW 33 2038 475 567 131 10 0 0
VODI 2 336 230 1492 924 87 0 0
ODI 0 87 52 598 1263 576 15 0
CDI 0 76 55 345 1842 3094 1542 1
VCDI 0 26 43 340 1346 6161 28380 63727
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63282 15534 100 172 40 0 0 0
OW 30 1822 451 617 118 9 0 0
VODI 4 332 236 1368 897 82 0 0
ODI 0 89 48 620 1242 539 23 0
CDI 0 71 51 379 1902 3151 1494 2
VCDI 0 30 44 336 1335 6147 28420 63726

Date: 2024-04-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63744 15353 48 166 29 0 0 0
OW 55 2184 675 453 110 5 0 0
VODI 9 105 177 1939 651 34 0 0
ODI 0 57 31 510 1993 235 2 0
CDI 0 95 63 289 1971 5063 568 4
VCDI 0 1 2 57 699 6131 28562 62673
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63785 14684 85 205 44 3 0 0
OW 23 1931 353 550 235 8 0 0
VODI 0 705 308 1293 755 120 2 0
ODI 0 196 111 657 1235 443 87 0
CDI 0 161 78 481 1996 3319 1008 6
VCDI 0 118 61 228 1188 7575 28035 62671

Date: 2024-04-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64612 15119 116 116 6 0 0 0
OW 60 2346 415 438 104 1 0 0
VODI 0 468 342 1619 494 42 0 0
ODI 0 126 55 756 1293 199 2 0
CDI 0 175 118 619 2495 3665 678 14
VCDI 0 0 10 246 1424 6564 24431 65575
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64668 14306 126 130 11 0 0 0
OW 4 2062 299 583 173 12 0 0
VODI 0 1034 289 1217 524 91 0 0
ODI 0 335 140 657 1048 271 36 0
CDI 0 403 136 788 2418 2700 1032 7
VCDI 0 94 66 419 1642 7397 24043 65582

Date: 2024-04-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65075 14938 121 137 5 0 0 0
OW 4 2335 373 468 83 0 0 0
VODI 0 729 306 1356 508 40 0 0
ODI 0 277 119 894 974 263 30 4
CDI 0 229 134 915 2550 3934 1045 39
VCDI 0 12 20 544 2130 6546 27334 60272
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65072 14136 145 130 20 3 0 0
OW 7 2094 297 600 185 19 0 0
VODI 0 1247 281 992 410 77 4 0
ODI 0 451 124 939 894 255 78 4
CDI 0 512 140 941 2296 3080 1217 49
VCDI 0 80 86 712 2445 7349 27110 60262


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