Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-04-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-04-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57156 13674 124 70 10 0 0 0
OW 0 1012 376 557 92 0 0 0
VODI 0 243 215 1028 353 38 0 0
ODI 0 24 67 543 857 219 8 0
CDI 0 1 12 373 1434 2071 1565 16
VCDI 0 0 0 3 148 1264 8454 8409
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57098 13607 138 111 14 0 0 0
OW 0 1107 350 532 82 8 0 0
VODI 0 244 218 974 310 36 0 0
ODI 0 15 71 535 849 226 5 0
CDI 0 2 19 359 1306 2756 1591 0
VCDI 0 0 0 46 231 1669 8514 7393
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57081 14127 209 147 24 0 0 0
OW 3 873 473 606 48 0 0 0
VODI 0 35 111 1211 378 7 0 0
ODI 0 0 10 343 1023 262 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 142 1255 2074 786 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 119 1321 9960 7787
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57439 13620 211 136 12 0 0 0
OW 0 907 402 550 72 0 0 0
VODI 0 113 159 1124 370 19 0 0
ODI 0 13 19 513 892 211 7 0
CDI 0 5 19 259 1646 2406 646 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 239 1521 8503 8375
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57439 13610 227 144 9 0 0 0
OW 0 904 375 541 78 0 0 0
VODI 0 110 165 1078 322 26 0 0
ODI 0 29 17 563 918 193 8 0
CDI 0 5 26 257 1682 2445 714 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 222 1493 8434 8375

Date: 2024-04-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57347 13322 142 122 22 0 0 0
OW 0 1163 265 489 81 0 0 0
VODI 0 278 291 1026 333 26 0 0
ODI 0 65 79 742 1024 123 10 0
CDI 0 35 32 461 1445 2056 660 0
VCDI 0 0 0 37 294 1430 9124 7892
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57347 13365 147 145 10 0 0 0
OW 0 1080 257 467 96 0 0 0
VODI 0 300 291 962 298 35 0 0
ODI 0 78 73 798 945 131 10 0
CDI 0 40 41 474 1593 2137 705 1
VCDI 0 0 0 31 257 1332 9079 7891

Date: 2024-04-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57996 13265 49 135 23 0 0 0
OW 0 1448 561 322 36 5 0 0
VODI 0 50 177 1419 386 8 0 0
ODI 0 18 21 473 1474 102 4 0
CDI 0 4 15 249 1258 2199 162 0
VCDI 0 1 0 6 158 2041 7562 8789
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57996 12588 56 126 20 0 0 0
OW 0 1509 228 270 89 4 0 0
VODI 0 537 355 813 350 40 4 0
ODI 0 92 127 708 953 140 18 0
CDI 0 59 55 607 1478 1778 622 0
VCDI 0 1 2 80 445 2393 7084 8789

Date: 2024-04-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57801 13436 110 87 3 0 0 0
OW 0 1240 375 484 43 19 0 0
VODI 0 149 251 1183 555 29 0 0
ODI 0 28 44 464 1201 109 8 0
CDI 0 18 33 301 1267 1950 507 0
VCDI 0 0 0 27 256 2211 7550 8677
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57801 12712 76 109 11 0 0 0
OW 0 1383 242 328 75 18 0 0
VODI 0 560 272 874 428 68 5 0
ODI 0 150 149 607 926 128 18 0
CDI 0 64 68 569 1501 1676 844 0
VCDI 0 2 6 59 384 2428 7198 8677

Date: 2024-04-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58012 13217 87 80 64 0 0 0
OW 0 1159 367 474 69 4 0 0
VODI 0 200 229 1095 469 27 0 0
ODI 0 32 71 483 1017 235 2 0
CDI 0 26 45 306 1243 2081 793 0
VCDI 0 0 1 81 405 1877 8678 7487
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58012 12440 69 123 46 0 0 0
OW 0 1378 224 259 122 3 0 0
VODI 0 597 273 901 465 74 1 0
ODI 0 154 134 624 726 321 17 0
CDI 0 65 98 557 1594 1918 1185 1
VCDI 0 0 2 55 314 1908 8270 7486


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