Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-04-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-04-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5147 2400 1 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 548 56 125 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 274 50 96 53 21 0 0
ODI 0 44 76 181 60 45 19 12
CDI 0 1 10 168 325 231 282 108
VCDI 0 0 0 18 577 2692 11188 36402
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4957 2501 21 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 533 52 101 36 1 0 0
VODI 0 237 86 137 44 40 5 0
ODI 0 40 48 232 76 57 44 0
CDI 0 0 5 190 455 352 397 59
VCDI 0 0 0 4 467 3231 10737 36075
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4505 2705 41 14 0 0 0 0
OW 0 504 72 231 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 41 60 483 228 12 4 0
ODI 0 0 0 51 517 56 12 12
CDI 0 0 0 0 355 661 194 60
VCDI 0 0 0 0 158 3295 11755 35187
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4868 2525 27 21 0 0 0 0
OW 0 556 54 207 33 0 0 0
VODI 0 127 105 352 158 3 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 123 357 88 29 1
CDI 0 0 0 0 352 624 534 20
VCDI 0 0 0 0 216 3884 11967 33999
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4868 2591 36 32 0 0 0 0
OW 0 470 47 231 36 0 0 0
VODI 0 147 103 309 167 5 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 130 326 99 27 3
CDI 0 0 0 1 369 654 556 21
VCDI 0 0 0 0 218 3841 11946 33996

Date: 2024-04-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4866 2450 10 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 642 86 157 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 210 65 375 174 25 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 156 331 109 47 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 423 695 452 21
VCDI 0 0 0 27 325 4354 10994 34212
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4866 2529 18 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 547 78 196 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 226 65 331 182 27 3 0
ODI 0 0 0 159 319 126 65 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 438 728 422 17
VCDI 0 0 0 29 320 4302 11005 34216

Date: 2024-04-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5219 2535 11 9 0 0 0 0
OW 0 779 172 153 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 9 504 168 10 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 51 562 76 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 66 442 740 87 5
VCDI 0 0 0 160 568 2953 7093 38848
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5219 2309 14 26 0 0 0 0
OW 0 599 65 130 43 0 0 0
VODI 0 396 72 208 126 61 0 0
ODI 0 12 37 274 218 157 17 0
CDI 0 0 6 95 698 432 238 17
VCDI 0 0 0 210 662 3129 6925 38836

Date: 2024-04-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5466 2347 30 10 0 0 0 0
OW 49 719 110 168 13 2 0 0
VODI 11 53 46 365 189 11 0 0
ODI 0 9 0 119 307 159 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 73 463 839 392 2
VCDI 0 0 0 104 558 2598 11191 34823
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5497 2196 48 102 24 0 0 0
OW 29 566 19 64 92 29 0 0
VODI 0 343 69 159 82 138 1 0
ODI 0 23 50 217 186 195 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 132 532 406 226 8
VCDI 0 0 0 165 614 2841 11353 34817

Date: 2024-04-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4863 2614 14 18 0 0 0 0
OW 31 569 93 330 38 0 0 0
VODI 0 33 1 241 554 24 0 0
ODI 0 4 1 51 241 444 17 0
CDI 0 6 4 99 322 762 857 1
VCDI 0 4 12 165 817 3509 12462 32030
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4891 2709 25 55 4 0 0 0
OW 3 473 79 204 73 12 7 0
VODI 0 37 4 305 436 148 21 2
ODI 0 0 0 28 250 409 100 11
CDI 0 1 1 49 249 642 732 33
VCDI 0 10 16 263 960 3528 12476 31985


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