Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-04-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-04-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62303 16126 135 81 10 0 0 0
OW 0 1563 433 702 110 0 0 0
VODI 0 517 266 1149 416 59 0 0
ODI 0 68 145 744 956 270 27 12
CDI 0 2 22 557 1932 2427 1852 131
VCDI 0 0 0 21 736 4093 22260 74618
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62055 16166 169 131 14 0 0 0
OW 0 1642 402 650 118 9 0 0
VODI 0 481 306 1138 357 76 5 0
ODI 0 55 119 799 946 284 49 0
CDI 0 2 24 570 1825 3274 2006 68
VCDI 0 0 0 50 740 5402 27360 67451
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61586 16896 256 163 24 0 0 0
OW 3 1386 553 851 66 0 0 0
VODI 0 79 175 1740 609 19 4 0
ODI 0 0 10 401 1558 318 13 13
CDI 0 0 0 142 1671 2886 1067 71
VCDI 0 0 0 1 277 4882 29745 67278
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62307 16202 245 177 12 0 0 0
OW 0 1463 457 787 107 0 0 0
VODI 0 240 264 1500 542 22 1 0
ODI 0 13 19 637 1260 300 39 4
CDI 0 5 19 259 2018 3149 1209 56
VCDI 0 0 0 8 455 5585 24477 70905
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62307 16257 269 194 9 0 0 0
OW 0 1375 424 805 116 0 0 0
VODI 0 257 268 1410 502 31 2 0
ODI 0 29 17 694 1253 294 38 8
CDI 0 5 26 258 2074 3205 1305 61
VCDI 0 0 0 7 440 5526 24381 70896

Date: 2024-04-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62213 15834 159 136 22 0 0 0
OW 0 1811 356 669 95 0 0 0
VODI 0 489 357 1419 521 51 2 0
ODI 0 65 79 898 1361 232 57 0
CDI 0 35 32 470 1921 2895 1142 21
VCDI 0 0 0 64 656 6389 28462 65830
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62213 15954 172 162 10 0 0 0
OW 0 1635 340 686 104 0 0 0
VODI 0 527 357 1311 494 62 3 0
ODI 0 78 73 957 1266 260 75 0
CDI 0 40 41 480 2089 3012 1156 18
VCDI 0 0 0 60 613 6233 28429 65833

Date: 2024-04-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63215 15876 81 148 23 0 0 0
OW 0 2237 740 486 43 5 0 0
VODI 0 56 188 1938 554 18 0 0
ODI 0 18 23 524 2036 179 8 0
CDI 0 4 15 315 1702 3199 264 5
VCDI 0 1 0 166 726 5303 21522 73125
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63215 14970 84 155 20 0 0 0
OW 0 2122 307 415 132 4 0 0
VODI 0 936 429 1033 476 101 4 0
ODI 0 104 164 982 1171 298 39 0
CDI 0 59 61 702 2178 2449 887 17
VCDI 0 1 2 290 1107 5852 20864 73113

Date: 2024-04-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63267 15854 150 106 3 0 0 0
OW 49 1982 491 661 56 21 0 0
VODI 11 217 297 1555 745 40 0 0
ODI 0 37 44 583 1515 269 13 0
CDI 0 18 33 374 1775 3018 913 5
VCDI 0 0 0 131 858 4921 21563 73168
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63298 14977 132 217 35 0 0 0
OW 29 1981 269 407 167 47 0 0
VODI 0 911 341 1037 512 206 6 0
ODI 0 173 199 824 1117 326 26 2
CDI 0 64 68 701 2069 2308 1105 35
VCDI 0 2 6 224 1052 5382 21352 73136

Date: 2024-04-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62916 15894 101 98 64 0 0 0
OW 37 1764 460 804 107 4 0 0
VODI 0 237 230 1336 1026 51 0 0
ODI 0 36 72 534 1272 679 21 0
CDI 0 32 49 405 1626 2893 1851 4
VCDI 0 4 13 246 1263 5544 26056 67014
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62935 15196 94 178 50 0 0 0
OW 18 1907 303 463 195 15 7 0
VODI 0 634 277 1206 902 222 22 2
ODI 0 154 134 652 978 731 118 11
CDI 0 66 99 606 1876 2606 2099 51
VCDI 0 10 18 318 1357 5597 25682 66954


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