Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-04-04

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-03-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56942 13939 243 183 46 0 0 0
OW 1 790 355 677 86 4 0 0
VODI 0 180 153 803 513 14 0 0
ODI 0 23 39 452 758 271 13 0
CDI 0 1 13 308 1320 1708 1097 1
VCDI 0 0 0 20 426 1809 10014 7214
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56689 14027 233 186 22 0 0 0
OW 0 839 305 688 115 10 0 0
VODI 0 255 159 767 504 59 0 0
ODI 0 45 75 539 826 406 0 0
CDI 0 0 4 369 1242 1640 1160 0
VCDI 0 0 0 47 648 2101 10275 6181
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57259 13899 191 122 22 0 0 0
OW 0 961 385 478 66 3 1 0
VODI 0 140 194 1191 291 33 4 0
ODI 0 2 30 449 1155 154 12 0
CDI 0 0 7 318 1354 2243 433 0
VCDI 0 0 0 36 208 1842 10405 6528
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56926 13865 150 91 9 0 0 0
OW 0 953 359 538 70 0 0 0
VODI 0 215 240 1074 312 3 1 0
ODI 0 23 52 598 1014 194 14 0
CDI 0 0 10 342 1464 2476 1424 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 122 1123 8473 8278
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56926 13918 147 93 8 0 0 0
OW 0 895 363 508 79 0 0 0
VODI 0 221 248 1067 286 3 0 0
ODI 0 22 42 638 919 176 9 0
CDI 0 0 11 337 1559 2524 1496 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 140 1093 8407 8278

Date: 2024-04-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57293 13551 124 58 27 0 0 0
OW 0 1089 419 457 106 2 0 0
VODI 0 256 238 1014 284 34 0 0
ODI 0 14 71 556 759 213 8 0
CDI 0 4 9 342 1354 2461 1602 0
VCDI 0 0 0 13 176 1505 8635 7742
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57293 13629 152 65 27 0 0 0
OW 0 996 386 483 107 1 0 0
VODI 0 271 247 949 252 31 0 0
ODI 0 14 65 562 733 178 4 0
CDI 0 4 11 363 1392 2520 1722 0
VCDI 0 0 0 18 195 1485 8519 7742

Date: 2024-04-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57064 14114 177 132 24 0 0 0
OW 0 901 568 482 44 0 0 0
VODI 0 23 91 1429 265 9 0 0
ODI 0 1 9 341 1358 119 1 0
CDI 0 0 9 102 1220 2706 269 0
VCDI 0 0 0 34 112 1351 9732 7729
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57064 13611 180 143 38 0 0 0
OW 0 1047 321 462 84 6 0 0
VODI 0 336 232 894 258 25 0 0
ODI 0 40 92 560 890 170 9 0
CDI 0 4 19 362 1480 2347 1724 2
VCDI 0 1 10 99 273 1637 8269 7727

Date: 2024-04-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57410 13804 235 152 16 0 0 0
OW 3 812 421 642 55 0 0 0
VODI 0 85 127 1020 468 4 0 0
ODI 0 4 10 361 887 293 2 0
CDI 0 0 7 191 1496 2390 640 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 129 1492 9487 7773
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57413 13106 208 188 27 0 0 0
OW 0 1097 220 390 102 0 0 0
VODI 0 394 245 797 336 41 0 0
ODI 0 97 86 496 739 326 5 0
CDI 0 11 41 464 1546 2379 1881 9
VCDI 0 0 0 31 301 1433 8243 7764

Date: 2024-04-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57436 13427 167 138 16 0 0 0
OW 0 1058 353 455 96 1 0 0
VODI 0 193 248 1078 302 42 0 0
ODI 0 26 30 661 922 167 13 0
CDI 0 12 18 327 1860 2202 590 0
VCDI 0 0 0 25 214 1244 8170 8925
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57436 12707 176 180 28 0 0 0
OW 0 1162 200 301 105 8 0 0
VODI 0 626 259 719 233 64 3 0
ODI 0 170 127 828 688 199 20 0
CDI 0 51 54 628 2128 2292 1726 22
VCDI 0 0 0 28 228 1093 7024 8903


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