Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-03-28

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-03-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57349 13725 247 198 33 0 0 0
OW 21 1008 331 606 140 1 0 0
VODI 0 286 197 780 389 62 1 0
ODI 0 53 93 437 700 317 19 0
CDI 0 10 44 413 814 1358 1288 0
VCDI 0 0 1 167 655 1745 8737 8191
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57575 13434 203 155 20 0 0 0
OW 20 923 316 654 145 5 0 0
VODI 0 330 179 747 390 72 2 0
ODI 0 112 88 484 571 385 31 0
CDI 0 50 87 527 997 1224 1065 1
VCDI 0 0 3 145 527 2657 9116 7176
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56985 14061 206 316 33 0 0 0
OW 45 719 411 658 98 2 0 0
VODI 5 71 108 1006 494 16 0 0
ODI 0 1 18 347 841 212 0 0
CDI 0 2 10 220 1202 1897 531 1
VCDI 0 0 0 35 444 2374 10658 6389
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57166 13813 209 163 37 0 0 0
OW 18 771 377 690 69 0 0 0
VODI 0 143 127 835 488 3 0 0
ODI 0 21 47 382 747 291 12 0
CDI 0 2 12 303 1235 1889 1437 0
VCDI 0 0 0 21 375 1374 8556 8803
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57166 13869 241 175 35 0 0 0
OW 18 727 349 693 81 0 0 0
VODI 0 135 126 823 478 5 0 0
ODI 0 17 44 381 742 290 15 0
CDI 0 2 12 296 1235 1905 1423 0
VCDI 0 0 0 26 380 1357 8567 8803

Date: 2024-03-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56670 14094 250 201 36 0 0 0
OW 0 843 342 671 66 5 0 0
VODI 0 239 177 809 449 10 3 0
ODI 0 84 66 544 832 220 5 0
CDI 0 23 9 427 1281 1801 672 0
VCDI 0 0 0 48 464 1847 10172 7056
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56670 14149 277 219 27 0 0 0
OW 0 805 314 650 89 6 0 0
VODI 0 222 175 813 417 11 4 0
ODI 0 82 70 525 840 234 6 0
CDI 0 25 8 441 1293 1840 705 0
VCDI 0 0 0 52 462 1792 10137 7056

Date: 2024-04-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57282 13928 194 168 30 0 0 0
OW 0 931 462 512 46 3 0 0
VODI 0 52 138 1225 393 18 0 0
ODI 0 0 11 392 1248 124 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 255 1204 2265 201 0
VCDI 0 0 0 26 282 1966 10948 6111
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57282 13363 187 216 14 0 0 0
OW 0 952 276 573 129 14 0 0
VODI 0 461 181 650 589 45 0 0
ODI 0 132 125 526 795 409 2 0
CDI 0 3 36 500 1134 1596 1037 0
VCDI 0 0 0 113 542 2312 10111 6111

Date: 2024-04-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57177 13821 149 96 20 3 0 0
OW 0 986 399 426 70 9 0 0
VODI 0 195 228 1118 243 12 7 0
ODI 0 19 42 600 1049 169 20 0
CDI 0 2 15 364 1526 2446 1017 4
VCDI 0 0 0 30 165 1232 10040 6717
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57177 13083 167 87 15 1 0 0
OW 0 1115 229 570 93 16 0 0
VODI 0 601 220 640 505 49 12 0
ODI 0 202 151 604 820 280 17 0
CDI 0 22 66 719 1482 2023 1453 0
VCDI 0 0 0 14 158 1502 9602 6721

Date: 2024-04-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57156 13674 124 70 10 0 0 0
OW 0 1012 376 557 92 0 0 0
VODI 0 243 215 1028 353 38 0 0
ODI 0 24 67 543 857 219 8 0
CDI 0 1 12 373 1434 2071 1565 16
VCDI 0 0 0 3 148 1264 8454 8409
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57156 12884 183 198 15 0 0 0
OW 0 1208 204 532 119 0 0 0
VODI 0 636 178 630 569 61 2 2
ODI 0 206 185 536 558 401 53 6
CDI 0 20 44 668 1399 1717 1521 73
VCDI 0 0 0 10 234 1413 8451 8344


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