Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-03-28

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-03-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4918 2445 4 12 4 0 0 0
OW 0 531 60 37 24 0 0 0
VODI 0 215 76 238 64 13 2 0
ODI 0 50 38 137 153 104 14 0
CDI 0 22 4 118 327 509 203 18
VCDI 0 1 1 36 709 2174 11076 36894
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4623 2544 0 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 535 99 106 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 194 51 246 150 1 0 0
ODI 0 78 16 130 261 85 5 0
CDI 0 44 20 93 460 660 321 12
VCDI 0 0 0 5 320 2264 10094 37791
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4262 2631 8 7 0 0 0 0
OW 0 585 96 189 32 2 0 0
VODI 0 36 54 481 243 16 0 0
ODI 0 5 0 10 440 274 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 57 1192 158 4
VCDI 0 0 0 0 61 2584 12014 35790
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4535 2461 9 4 0 0 0 0
OW 0 624 117 183 45 0 0 0
VODI 0 92 84 426 213 5 0 0
ODI 0 2 0 44 435 260 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 115 740 316 19
VCDI 0 0 0 0 118 3429 15144 31810
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4535 2516 12 13 0 0 0 0
OW 0 574 111 185 44 0 0 0
VODI 0 87 87 406 203 4 0 0
ODI 0 2 0 53 452 223 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 102 848 300 26
VCDI 0 0 0 0 125 3359 15157 31803

Date: 2024-03-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4448 2468 3 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 717 102 192 46 0 0 0
VODI 0 74 91 399 295 16 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 71 521 268 16 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 293 651 243 12
VCDI 0 0 0 0 358 3684 12593 33666
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4448 2573 14 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 594 95 185 46 0 0 0
VODI 0 90 87 391 278 24 0 0
ODI 0 3 0 85 534 265 16 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 323 673 240 21
VCDI 0 0 0 0 332 3657 12596 33657

Date: 2024-04-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4010 2803 31 15 4 0 0 0
OW 0 467 99 137 20 0 0 0
VODI 0 33 22 526 140 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 65 532 65 1 1
CDI 0 0 0 3 304 1080 115 31
VCDI 0 0 0 2 436 3956 12346 33986
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4010 2701 33 18 0 0 0 0
OW 0 516 67 295 66 0 0 0
VODI 0 86 52 360 425 83 5 0
ODI 0 1 0 67 295 447 52 1
CDI 0 0 0 4 188 740 288 64
VCDI 0 0 0 4 462 3831 12117 33953

Date: 2024-04-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4632 2566 10 8 0 0 0 0
OW 0 528 69 116 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 126 110 277 114 6 0 0
ODI 0 1 17 226 173 24 4 7
CDI 0 0 0 34 483 299 86 97
VCDI 0 0 0 2 431 2897 11557 36326
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4632 2342 9 10 0 0 0 0
OW 0 674 102 174 41 4 0 0
VODI 0 204 89 359 203 35 2 0
ODI 0 1 6 117 374 119 27 5
CDI 0 0 0 1 352 419 256 66
VCDI 0 0 0 2 236 2649 11362 36359

Date: 2024-04-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5147 2400 1 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 548 56 125 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 274 50 96 53 21 0 0
ODI 0 44 76 181 60 45 19 12
CDI 0 1 10 168 325 231 282 108
VCDI 0 0 0 18 577 2692 11188 36402
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5147 2116 7 11 1 0 0 0
OW 0 740 47 101 28 3 0 0
VODI 0 397 110 181 56 28 12 0
ODI 0 14 29 252 226 53 51 1
CDI 0 0 0 46 420 382 308 73
VCDI 0 0 0 0 302 2523 11118 36448


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