Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-03-28

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-03-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62267 16227 261 225 37 0 0 0
OW 21 1542 395 713 176 1 0 0
VODI 0 501 278 1076 497 76 3 0
ODI 0 103 131 608 945 424 33 0
CDI 0 32 48 531 1226 2013 1536 18
VCDI 0 1 2 203 1365 4086 24763 72379
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62198 16025 218 166 20 0 0 0
OW 20 1458 415 788 165 5 0 0
VODI 0 524 230 1075 580 73 2 0
ODI 0 190 104 645 934 474 36 0
CDI 0 94 107 623 1536 2019 1434 16
VCDI 0 0 3 150 847 5007 21197 75365
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61247 16724 224 339 33 0 0 0
OW 45 1304 507 870 132 4 0 0
VODI 5 107 162 1507 758 32 0 0
ODI 0 6 18 383 1420 486 0 0
CDI 0 2 10 220 1376 3221 701 16
VCDI 0 0 0 35 512 5135 24767 72435
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61701 16310 225 170 37 0 0 0
OW 18 1395 495 906 121 0 0 0
VODI 0 235 211 1281 729 8 0 0
ODI 0 23 47 438 1245 553 13 0
CDI 0 2 12 310 1465 2709 1759 21
VCDI 0 0 0 31 543 4923 25650 71157
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61701 16421 259 191 35 0 0 0
OW 18 1301 462 911 131 0 0 0
VODI 0 222 213 1249 708 9 0 0
ODI 0 19 44 446 1261 513 19 0
CDI 0 2 12 298 1445 2820 1726 28
VCDI 0 0 0 41 560 4851 25677 71150

Date: 2024-03-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61118 16591 257 207 36 0 0 0
OW 0 1567 458 888 126 5 0 0
VODI 0 319 276 1224 770 26 3 0
ODI 0 85 76 632 1411 488 21 0
CDI 0 23 10 494 1609 2471 918 25
VCDI 0 0 0 148 925 5725 25197 70614
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61118 16752 296 223 27 0 0 0
OW 0 1407 421 865 149 6 0 0
VODI 0 316 272 1218 722 35 4 0
ODI 0 85 79 623 1429 499 22 0
CDI 0 25 9 519 1648 2529 948 31
VCDI 0 0 0 145 902 5646 25165 70608

Date: 2024-04-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61292 16763 234 207 34 0 0 0
OW 0 1402 570 665 72 3 0 0
VODI 0 85 167 1796 564 18 0 0
ODI 0 1 11 483 1832 189 2 1
CDI 0 0 0 316 1577 3397 317 32
VCDI 0 0 0 50 779 6069 25572 70243
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61292 16096 227 242 15 0 0 0
OW 0 1468 347 904 209 14 0 0
VODI 0 549 240 1025 1049 128 5 0
ODI 0 135 129 605 1117 857 54 1
CDI 0 3 39 539 1355 2362 1326 80
VCDI 0 0 0 202 1113 6315 24506 70195

Date: 2024-04-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61809 16450 167 112 20 3 0 0
OW 0 1520 472 561 75 9 0 0
VODI 0 321 344 1434 357 18 7 0
ODI 0 20 59 874 1235 197 24 7
CDI 0 2 15 487 2164 2792 1106 108
VCDI 0 0 0 32 613 4344 24884 72101
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61809 15481 186 109 15 1 0 0
OW 0 1799 332 773 134 20 0 0
VODI 0 807 311 1030 708 84 14 0
ODI 0 204 162 737 1194 399 44 5
CDI 0 22 66 781 1886 2464 1722 69
VCDI 0 0 0 70 527 4395 24241 72142

Date: 2024-04-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62303 16126 135 81 10 0 0 0
OW 0 1563 433 702 110 0 0 0
VODI 0 517 266 1149 416 59 0 0
ODI 0 68 145 744 956 270 27 12
CDI 0 2 22 557 1932 2427 1852 131
VCDI 0 0 0 21 736 4093 22260 74618
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62303 15048 200 238 22 0 0 0
OW 0 1955 253 639 165 3 0 0
VODI 0 1033 290 814 642 89 14 2
ODI 0 220 214 795 785 457 104 7
CDI 0 20 44 758 1934 2180 1836 160
VCDI 0 0 0 10 612 4120 22185 74592


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