Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-03-21

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-03-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57475 13937 302 315 10 0 0 0
OW 54 1076 265 721 109 0 0 0
VODI 0 228 216 789 500 28 0 0
ODI 0 12 21 457 788 141 5 0
CDI 0 1 7 174 1084 2349 988 1
VCDI 0 0 0 51 405 2640 8940 6327
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56647 14074 362 482 35 0 0 0
OW 28 1169 254 624 208 7 0 0
VODI 0 218 221 778 467 55 0 0
ODI 0 13 48 431 798 279 4 0
CDI 0 0 9 310 1094 2351 787 117
VCDI 0 0 0 34 510 2543 9176 6283
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57088 14193 291 367 38 0 0 0
OW 43 869 418 685 141 9 0 0
VODI 0 85 154 922 381 43 0 0
ODI 0 11 10 449 814 194 1 0
CDI 0 0 3 214 819 1969 630 16
VCDI 0 0 0 83 750 1898 8918 7910
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57188 14107 237 266 28 0 0 0
OW 28 957 327 678 141 1 0 0
VODI 0 184 150 806 410 54 0 0
ODI 0 27 61 417 717 277 3 0
CDI 0 3 20 296 848 1655 946 0
VCDI 0 0 0 165 653 2029 9159 7578
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57198 14061 243 260 33 0 0 0
OW 18 1005 306 645 139 1 0 0
VODI 0 181 168 833 389 54 0 0
ODI 0 29 60 431 707 279 3 0
CDI 0 2 18 303 859 1701 1056 1
VCDI 0 0 0 156 670 1981 9049 7577

Date: 2024-03-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57464 13564 222 173 20 0 0 0
OW 19 985 291 694 106 2 0 0
VODI 0 364 196 722 429 46 6 0
ODI 0 115 66 445 678 319 44 0
CDI 0 55 98 394 807 1197 1205 0
VCDI 0 3 8 203 630 2240 9239 7367
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57465 13517 246 186 19 0 0 0
OW 18 1005 272 659 123 2 3 0
VODI 0 374 180 727 397 58 6 0
ODI 0 128 87 466 664 325 42 0
CDI 0 62 91 404 834 1226 1299 0
VCDI 0 0 5 189 633 2193 9144 7367

Date: 2024-03-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57314 13912 274 217 27 0 0 0
OW 55 782 427 628 61 0 0 0
VODI 9 53 92 1166 418 16 0 0
ODI 0 4 22 373 921 169 0 0
CDI 0 0 7 212 1133 1923 214 2
VCDI 0 0 0 10 303 2247 10415 7010
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57363 13335 276 322 42 1 0 0
OW 15 981 251 570 220 8 0 0
VODI 0 309 160 635 431 108 4 0
ODI 0 91 73 490 588 418 36 0
CDI 0 35 57 500 1020 1445 1157 3
VCDI 0 0 5 89 562 2375 9432 7009

Date: 2024-03-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57180 13872 215 169 24 1 0 0
OW 33 730 393 676 83 16 0 0
VODI 0 105 125 912 429 29 1 0
ODI 0 13 26 355 745 270 4 0
CDI 0 1 14 279 1216 1943 1142 0
VCDI 0 0 0 39 379 1527 9603 7867
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57213 13414 266 353 33 5 0 0
OW 0 876 229 600 205 19 0 0
VODI 0 315 159 556 473 109 16 0
ODI 0 83 72 446 510 446 49 0
CDI 0 33 44 401 1144 1229 1685 0
VCDI 0 0 3 74 511 1978 9000 7867

Date: 2024-03-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56942 13939 243 183 46 0 0 0
OW 1 790 355 677 86 4 0 0
VODI 0 180 153 803 513 14 0 0
ODI 0 23 39 452 758 271 13 0
CDI 0 1 13 308 1320 1708 1097 1
VCDI 0 0 0 20 426 1809 10014 7214
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56943 13401 318 391 28 5 0 0
OW 0 919 196 570 231 11 0 0
VODI 0 456 155 499 447 89 0 0
ODI 0 130 80 456 529 390 44 0
CDI 0 27 54 498 1543 1416 1632 0
VCDI 0 0 0 29 371 1895 9448 7215


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