Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-03-21

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-03-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 97 11 31 1 0 0 0
OW 0 32 8 102 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 18 25 57 16 0 0 0
ODI 0 2 3 46 27 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 28 60 24 1 34
VCDI 0 0 0 0 39 462 4727 27237
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 102 26 41 2 0 0 0
OW 0 53 24 33 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 58 11 33 18 0 0 0
ODI 0 33 7 33 7 2 0 0
CDI 0 14 18 57 14 5 2 27
VCDI 0 7 14 111 172 548 5777 25836
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 76 25 32 8 0 0 0
OW 0 62 21 68 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 4 10 64 30 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 46 49 6 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 38 59 45 44 4
VCDI 0 0 0 9 117 599 6453 25212
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 55 10 26 1 0 0 0
OW 0 13 7 85 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 8 58 33 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 47 76 3 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 121 102 51 7
VCDI 0 0 0 0 6 300 6885 25185
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 56 9 28 5 0 0 0
OW 0 12 8 81 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 8 61 32 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 46 78 3 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 111 83 46 7
VCDI 0 0 0 0 10 319 6890 25185

Date: 2024-03-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 46 9 19 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 3 49 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 2 70 42 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 35 97 4 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 77 148 52 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 85 4137 28212
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 46 9 30 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 5 35 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 71 38 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 38 98 4 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 73 132 45 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 101 4144 28212

Date: 2024-03-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 38 12 12 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 19 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 37 14 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 52 131 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 111 143 18 4
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 126 2741 29635
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 38 11 27 2 0 0 0
OW 0 0 1 18 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 53 38 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 22 129 1 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 81 100 70 12
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 168 2688 29627

Date: 2024-03-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 32 9 9 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 1 27 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 20 28 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 16 81 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 146 104 13 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 14 167 3038 29381
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 32 9 28 5 0 0 0
OW 0 0 1 5 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 20 26 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 22 119 2 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 109 89 64 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 180 2982 29380

Date: 2024-03-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 30 8 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 2 34 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 23 20 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 22 60 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 101 50 4 4
VCDI 0 0 0 36 65 122 1811 30675
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 30 10 25 4 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 8 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 24 27 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 33 38 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 43 153 88 30 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 18 84 1785 30679


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