Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-03-21

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-03-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4143 2736 10 12 2 0 0 0
OW 0 413 82 63 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 39 66 357 86 7 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 113 459 61 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 235 583 116 27
VCDI 0 0 0 0 216 2092 8497 40796
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3975 2681 13 17 2 0 0 0
OW 0 437 73 66 23 2 0 0
VODI 0 40 85 376 67 16 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 118 482 124 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 249 749 112 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 239 2349 10282 38647
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4086 2734 9 17 13 0 0 0
OW 0 438 46 77 26 0 0 0
VODI 0 85 57 330 132 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 104 399 71 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 402 752 49 15
VCDI 0 0 0 0 438 1559 9148 40241
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4773 2493 5 11 8 0 0 0
OW 0 493 59 80 30 0 0 0
VODI 0 211 81 196 82 13 0 0
ODI 0 17 27 210 161 95 2 1
CDI 0 3 1 94 383 471 108 32
VCDI 0 0 0 25 784 2411 10406 37465
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4773 2527 4 13 13 0 0 0
OW 0 484 57 70 26 1 0 0
VODI 0 184 83 216 65 10 1 0
ODI 0 19 28 213 184 96 1 1
CDI 0 3 1 84 382 479 110 34
VCDI 0 0 0 20 778 2404 10404 37463

Date: 2024-03-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4907 2439 3 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 530 81 38 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 212 76 241 73 3 2 0
ODI 0 66 25 147 170 87 18 1
CDI 0 54 14 99 393 507 388 17
VCDI 0 0 2 11 460 1975 10956 37207
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4907 2485 3 7 7 0 0 0
OW 0 503 73 52 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 208 98 223 55 1 1 0
ODI 0 63 15 175 171 77 20 1
CDI 0 42 11 80 396 507 323 19
VCDI 0 0 1 10 467 1987 11020 37205

Date: 2024-03-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4412 2689 1 9 0 0 0 0
OW 0 625 105 78 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 61 69 490 183 5 0 0
ODI 0 5 1 46 521 101 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 275 1306 91 5
VCDI 0 0 0 0 49 2395 10597 37095
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4412 2640 5 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 523 96 107 28 0 0 0
VODI 0 134 48 366 143 14 0 0
ODI 0 64 21 89 383 155 2 0
CDI 0 19 6 61 357 804 105 4
VCDI 0 0 0 4 130 2834 10581 37096

Date: 2024-03-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4372 2535 6 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 601 102 214 36 0 0 0
VODI 0 49 73 412 280 18 0 0
ODI 0 2 0 15 369 343 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 54 761 352 7
VCDI 0 0 0 0 79 3037 13962 33545
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4372 2382 10 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 567 67 111 53 5 0 0
VODI 0 216 75 301 132 22 0 0
ODI 0 21 29 191 314 199 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 43 212 626 263 19
VCDI 0 0 0 0 107 3307 14053 33533

Date: 2024-03-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4508 2502 12 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 669 102 180 48 0 0 0
VODI 0 96 88 414 231 5 0 0
ODI 0 1 3 77 476 238 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 229 685 279 17
VCDI 0 0 0 0 290 3469 14559 32050
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4508 2062 15 18 7 0 0 0
OW 0 566 39 102 80 0 0 0
VODI 0 430 65 193 152 16 0 0
ODI 0 197 61 190 230 200 3 0
CDI 0 13 25 168 314 524 183 27
VCDI 0 0 0 0 491 3657 14655 32040


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