Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-03-21

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-03-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61618 16770 323 358 13 0 0 0
OW 54 1521 355 886 136 0 0 0
VODI 0 285 307 1203 602 35 0 0
ODI 0 14 24 616 1274 202 6 0
CDI 0 1 7 202 1379 2956 1105 62
VCDI 0 0 0 51 660 5194 22164 74360
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60622 16857 401 540 39 0 0 0
OW 28 1659 351 723 242 9 0 0
VODI 0 316 317 1187 552 71 0 0
ODI 0 46 55 582 1287 405 5 0
CDI 0 14 27 372 1357 3105 901 145
VCDI 0 7 14 145 921 5440 25235 70766
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61174 17003 325 416 59 0 0 0
OW 43 1369 485 830 177 9 0 0
VODI 0 174 221 1316 543 43 0 0
ODI 0 11 12 599 1262 271 4 0
CDI 0 0 3 255 1280 2766 723 35
VCDI 0 0 0 92 1305 4056 24519 73363
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61961 16655 252 303 37 0 0 0
OW 28 1463 393 843 184 1 0 0
VODI 0 396 239 1060 525 67 0 0
ODI 0 44 88 674 954 375 6 1
CDI 0 6 21 392 1352 2228 1105 39
VCDI 0 0 0 190 1443 4740 26450 70228
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61971 16644 256 301 51 0 0 0
OW 18 1501 371 796 179 2 0 0
VODI 0 366 259 1110 486 64 1 0
ODI 0 48 88 690 969 378 5 1
CDI 0 5 19 389 1352 2263 1212 42
VCDI 0 0 0 176 1458 4704 26343 70225

Date: 2024-03-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62371 16049 234 203 20 0 0 0
OW 19 1515 375 781 131 2 0 0
VODI 0 576 274 1033 544 50 8 0
ODI 0 181 91 627 945 410 62 1
CDI 0 109 112 494 1277 1852 1645 17
VCDI 0 3 10 214 1090 4300 24332 72786
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62372 16048 258 223 26 0 0 0
OW 18 1508 350 746 155 2 3 0
VODI 0 582 278 1021 490 60 7 0
ODI 0 191 102 679 933 406 62 1
CDI 0 104 102 484 1303 1865 1667 19
VCDI 0 0 6 199 1100 4281 24308 72784

Date: 2024-03-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61726 16639 287 238 27 0 0 0
OW 55 1407 532 725 74 0 0 0
VODI 9 114 161 1693 615 21 0 0
ODI 0 9 23 471 1573 270 0 0
CDI 0 0 7 216 1519 3372 323 11
VCDI 0 0 0 10 355 4768 23753 73740
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61775 16013 292 349 44 1 0 0
OW 15 1504 348 695 254 8 0 0
VODI 0 443 208 1054 612 122 4 0
ODI 0 155 94 601 1100 574 39 0
CDI 0 54 63 561 1458 2349 1332 19
VCDI 0 0 5 93 695 5377 22701 73732

Date: 2024-03-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61552 16439 230 183 24 1 0 0
OW 33 1331 496 917 126 16 0 0
VODI 0 154 198 1344 737 47 1 0
ODI 0 15 26 386 1195 613 6 0
CDI 0 1 14 282 1416 2808 1507 7
VCDI 0 0 0 39 472 4731 26603 70793
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61585 15828 285 381 38 5 0 0
OW 0 1443 297 716 272 24 0 0
VODI 0 531 234 877 631 131 16 0
ODI 0 104 101 659 943 647 54 0
CDI 0 34 44 444 1465 1944 2012 20
VCDI 0 0 3 74 621 5465 26035 70780

Date: 2024-03-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61450 16471 263 185 46 0 0 0
OW 1 1459 459 891 145 4 0 0
VODI 0 276 241 1240 764 19 0 0
ODI 0 24 42 551 1294 509 16 0
CDI 0 1 13 324 1650 2443 1380 22
VCDI 0 0 0 56 781 5400 26384 69939
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61451 15493 343 434 39 5 0 0
OW 0 1485 235 680 328 11 0 0
VODI 0 886 220 716 626 105 0 0
ODI 0 327 141 679 797 590 47 0
CDI 0 40 79 709 2010 2028 1845 27
VCDI 0 0 0 29 880 5636 25888 69934


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