Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-03-14

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-03-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58694 13718 186 146 15 0 0 0
OW 0 1005 339 528 98 0 0 0
VODI 0 281 196 890 386 20 0 0
ODI 0 67 71 552 841 189 3 0
CDI 0 46 37 299 1424 2533 1049 0
VCDI 0 0 3 55 367 2787 7867 5724
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58296 13562 117 180 42 0 0 0
OW 0 1031 329 557 95 9 0 0
VODI 0 311 214 938 406 51 1 0
ODI 0 80 68 636 811 287 24 0
CDI 0 30 32 311 1300 3044 1284 8
VCDI 0 0 0 19 210 2080 7594 6459
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58112 13892 225 166 22 0 0 0
OW 105 953 443 625 47 1 0 0
VODI 0 81 100 1218 441 9 0 0
ODI 0 6 12 340 1207 179 2 0
CDI 0 0 1 87 1139 2868 361 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 163 2476 9297 5838
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57569 14067 290 290 6 0 0 0
OW 65 979 305 769 70 0 0 0
VODI 0 132 171 919 544 22 0 0
ODI 0 14 18 272 956 246 15 0
CDI 0 4 5 174 974 2407 936 0
VCDI 0 0 4 54 309 2478 9219 6133
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57591 14097 305 303 8 0 0 0
OW 43 947 295 763 66 0 0 0
VODI 0 132 161 899 546 31 0 0
ODI 0 13 22 297 977 267 16 0
CDI 0 6 6 168 977 2432 796 0
VCDI 0 1 4 48 285 2423 9358 6133

Date: 2024-03-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57142 13882 344 399 34 0 0 0
OW 30 1143 279 615 175 0 0 0
VODI 0 209 243 775 479 65 0 0
ODI 0 8 49 442 804 182 0 0
CDI 0 0 8 245 1133 2456 709 120
VCDI 0 0 0 67 421 2814 8796 6348
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57148 13914 369 437 28 0 0 0
OW 24 1108 271 573 197 0 0 0
VODI 0 211 234 793 479 64 0 0
ODI 0 6 43 442 813 216 10 0
CDI 0 3 6 232 1117 2441 697 108
VCDI 0 0 0 66 412 2796 8798 6360

Date: 2024-03-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56965 14200 329 480 22 0 0 0
OW 46 840 417 671 176 0 0 0
VODI 0 22 93 1114 485 24 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 346 925 223 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 99 878 2342 277 3
VCDI 0 0 0 16 520 2266 9061 7576
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56983 13681 335 580 38 0 0 0
OW 28 1098 237 521 264 8 0 0
VODI 0 267 199 783 406 60 0 0
ODI 0 15 58 469 649 416 18 0
CDI 0 1 10 317 1042 2088 1138 115
VCDI 0 0 0 56 607 2283 8182 7464

Date: 2024-03-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57301 14084 283 277 27 0 0 0
OW 40 908 367 670 115 0 0 0
VODI 0 181 181 804 396 33 0 0
ODI 0 33 58 392 757 209 9 0
CDI 0 8 33 230 869 1732 802 0
VCDI 0 0 10 166 634 2107 8594 8106
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57322 13525 279 389 65 0 0 0
OW 19 1134 270 507 184 20 0 0
VODI 0 369 193 649 399 91 5 0
ODI 0 110 104 388 529 369 26 0
CDI 0 57 54 414 966 1427 1184 0
VCDI 0 19 32 192 655 2174 8190 8106

Date: 2024-03-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57349 13725 247 198 33 0 0 0
OW 21 1008 331 606 140 1 0 0
VODI 0 286 197 780 389 62 1 0
ODI 0 53 93 437 700 317 19 0
CDI 0 10 44 413 814 1358 1288 0
VCDI 0 0 1 167 655 1745 8737 8191
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57364 13442 360 492 72 5 0 0
OW 6 1059 203 551 289 36 0 0
VODI 0 382 152 450 410 213 2 0
ODI 0 157 99 394 316 334 121 0
CDI 0 39 90 494 917 1107 1257 0
VCDI 0 3 9 220 727 1788 8665 8191


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