Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-03-14

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-03-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 145 9 14 0 0 0 0
OW 0 112 9 29 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 58 14 26 33 0 0 0
ODI 0 27 13 34 34 0 0 0
CDI 0 17 10 71 76 19 0 9
VCDI 0 0 2 25 150 702 3598 27853
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 140 9 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 102 13 30 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 65 14 38 17 0 0 0
ODI 0 44 6 26 22 2 0 0
CDI 0 19 19 52 23 16 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 27 107 393 3003 28884
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 146 20 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 152 11 39 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 22 28 35 27 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 10 35 25 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 62 56 35 6 18
VCDI 0 0 0 10 102 416 3184 28634
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 107 14 17 2 0 0 0
OW 0 76 25 58 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 26 20 43 12 0 0 0
ODI 0 2 3 58 16 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 87 41 12 13
VCDI 0 0 0 0 53 700 5726 25960
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 112 18 23 2 0 0 0
OW 0 71 22 52 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 26 19 46 11 0 0 0
ODI 0 2 3 60 18 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 87 44 18 14
VCDI 0 0 0 0 53 697 5720 25959

Date: 2024-03-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 108 17 34 0 0 0 0
OW 0 58 33 42 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 63 9 32 17 0 0 0
ODI 0 32 10 17 12 0 0 0
CDI 0 20 28 39 3 7 12 34
VCDI 0 2 3 116 198 412 6313 25419
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 103 24 37 0 0 0 0
OW 0 74 26 35 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 60 9 30 15 0 0 0
ODI 0 24 16 22 12 0 0 0
CDI 0 22 21 40 7 8 17 37
VCDI 0 0 4 116 196 411 6308 25416

Date: 2024-03-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 93 24 40 2 0 0 0
OW 0 115 25 40 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 23 49 26 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 9 41 38 2 0 0
CDI 0 0 9 54 27 44 21 1
VCDI 0 0 0 70 136 475 8280 23439
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 89 23 48 5 0 0 0
OW 0 53 11 28 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 54 6 29 27 6 0 0
ODI 0 16 23 35 22 6 0 0
CDI 0 2 20 55 14 28 21 3
VCDI 0 0 7 99 151 481 8280 23437

Date: 2024-03-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 64 12 28 7 0 0 0
OW 0 42 29 66 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 11 55 33 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 54 44 1 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 127 57 65 7
VCDI 0 0 0 0 48 551 7293 24468
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 59 16 34 7 0 0 0
OW 0 18 8 30 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 29 17 60 32 5 0 0
ODI 0 5 13 53 42 8 3 0
CDI 0 0 1 38 75 22 43 3
VCDI 0 0 0 1 101 574 7314 24472

Date: 2024-03-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 57 10 15 0 0 0 0
OW 0 3 4 70 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 5 58 44 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 34 92 3 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 85 146 45 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 167 4950 27294
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 59 14 15 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 4 43 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 69 71 7 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 34 72 9 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 87 61 10 10
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 240 4985 27284


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