Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-03-14

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-03-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5163 2897 29 12 0 0 0 0
OW 0 202 146 191 27 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 17 305 139 19 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 60 280 110 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 138 628 365 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 1422 9280 39790
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4776 2931 19 6 0 0 0 0
OW 0 143 174 261 32 4 0 0
VODI 0 0 8 317 216 23 4 0
ODI 0 0 0 15 339 123 16 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 61 518 199 9
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1954 10242 38841
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4448 2880 21 13 0 0 0 0
OW 0 222 138 102 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 13 432 61 15 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 47 428 46 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 199 560 95 16
VCDI 0 0 0 0 127 2179 12381 36787
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4151 2786 10 13 1 0 0 0
OW 0 380 92 76 21 3 0 0
VODI 0 24 53 388 77 10 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 81 464 59 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 236 567 173 30
VCDI 0 0 0 0 217 2271 11022 38026
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4151 2823 13 15 5 0 0 0
OW 0 339 97 90 21 3 0 0
VODI 0 28 45 370 73 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 83 459 57 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 234 528 233 29
VCDI 0 0 0 0 224 2313 10961 38027

Date: 2024-03-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4094 2717 9 16 2 0 0 0
OW 0 416 87 54 21 1 0 0
VODI 0 37 73 373 66 11 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 121 469 77 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 245 654 62 4
VCDI 0 0 0 0 247 2075 8395 40899
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4094 2786 15 16 5 0 0 0
OW 0 342 87 87 21 1 0 0
VODI 0 42 67 319 76 13 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 140 420 94 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 272 617 160 5
VCDI 0 0 0 0 256 2093 8296 40898

Date: 2024-03-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3910 2834 10 26 7 0 0 0
OW 0 310 141 90 25 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 15 444 107 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 11 512 83 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 290 1223 70 3
VCDI 0 0 0 0 241 1976 9598 39302
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3910 2700 17 27 8 0 0 0
OW 0 371 68 73 32 1 0 0
VODI 0 75 81 350 88 11 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 121 410 123 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 354 911 160 16
VCDI 0 0 0 0 290 2237 9508 39289

Date: 2024-03-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4490 2525 0 12 14 0 0 0
OW 0 529 42 56 27 0 0 0
VODI 0 163 88 249 98 11 0 0
ODI 0 15 28 171 271 56 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 47 461 491 25 20
VCDI 0 0 0 3 640 2492 8984 39222
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4490 2297 3 13 19 0 0 0
OW 0 545 25 62 26 4 0 0
VODI 0 348 74 116 59 22 0 0
ODI 0 42 56 260 168 52 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 81 538 427 17 53
VCDI 0 0 0 6 701 2545 8992 39189

Date: 2024-03-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4918 2445 4 12 4 0 0 0
OW 0 531 60 37 24 0 0 0
VODI 0 215 76 238 64 13 2 0
ODI 0 50 38 137 153 104 14 0
CDI 0 22 4 118 327 509 203 18
VCDI 0 1 1 36 709 2174 11076 36894
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4918 2247 4 16 5 0 0 0
OW 0 563 51 42 23 0 0 0
VODI 0 289 60 170 58 20 4 0
ODI 0 146 55 153 127 113 19 1
CDI 0 18 13 151 339 383 347 17
VCDI 0 1 0 46 729 2284 10925 36894


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