Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-03-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-03-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58525 14103 183 281 24 0 0 0
OW 0 1198 185 489 179 3 0 0
VODI 0 360 244 665 335 102 0 0
ODI 0 78 68 634 762 169 0 0
CDI 0 59 23 477 1536 1232 341 0
VCDI 0 19 13 131 866 3893 7879 5360
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58550 13739 271 273 15 0 0 0
OW 0 1067 197 571 148 20 0 0
VODI 0 381 154 732 256 76 0 0
ODI 0 130 83 487 779 112 0 0
CDI 0 105 60 551 1601 1761 352 0
VCDI 0 12 15 199 647 3341 8565 5166
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58284 14244 234 248 27 0 0 0
OW 17 1023 358 515 64 0 0 0
VODI 0 212 175 956 311 6 0 0
ODI 0 50 58 511 1008 133 0 0
CDI 0 6 20 386 1707 2304 448 0
VCDI 0 0 0 19 268 3830 6395 6599
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58417 14152 186 168 21 0 0 0
OW 29 1004 341 548 72 1 0 0
VODI 0 232 206 898 342 28 0 0
ODI 0 78 63 526 853 175 2 0
CDI 0 43 36 374 1483 2531 723 3
VCDI 0 0 2 32 423 2626 8590 5208
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58427 14134 208 172 22 0 0 0
OW 19 1004 307 543 63 1 0 0
VODI 0 250 217 904 353 24 0 0
ODI 0 80 60 519 840 174 4 0
CDI 0 41 41 380 1506 2537 811 4
VCDI 0 0 1 28 410 2625 8500 5207

Date: 2024-03-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58389 13667 141 179 62 1 0 0
OW 0 1005 330 551 117 7 0 0
VODI 0 301 196 872 466 37 0 0
ODI 0 66 72 598 770 265 8 0
CDI 0 48 37 279 1290 2818 1363 4
VCDI 0 0 3 57 278 2518 8279 5342
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58389 13655 168 185 57 1 0 0
OW 0 996 298 531 100 7 0 0
VODI 0 322 196 894 470 41 0 0
ODI 0 68 74 572 796 230 11 0
CDI 0 46 42 310 1318 2946 1444 6
VCDI 0 0 1 44 242 2421 8195 5340

Date: 2024-03-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58241 13831 181 172 32 0 0 0
OW 77 966 471 498 43 0 0 0
VODI 2 37 95 1436 336 7 0 0
ODI 0 2 5 390 1416 135 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 25 1120 3664 157 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 52 1915 9105 6004
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58320 13317 164 167 51 3 0 0
OW 0 1029 327 592 64 8 0 0
VODI 0 372 162 972 479 38 5 0
ODI 0 110 75 522 803 387 13 0
CDI 0 8 24 264 1449 3128 1381 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 153 2157 7864 6004

Date: 2024-03-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57800 14047 239 196 3 0 0 0
OW 88 933 412 717 38 0 0 0
VODI 0 88 132 1051 517 23 0 0
ODI 0 6 12 341 1060 206 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 145 1028 2662 689 6
VCDI 0 0 0 17 332 2510 9804 5304
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57888 13404 204 269 21 4 0 0
OW 0 1077 297 611 99 8 0 0
VODI 0 450 192 712 580 67 0 0
ODI 0 137 80 530 754 358 10 0
CDI 0 6 22 340 1161 2829 1337 5
VCDI 0 0 0 5 363 2135 9156 5305

Date: 2024-03-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57475 13937 302 315 10 0 0 0
OW 54 1076 265 721 109 0 0 0
VODI 0 228 216 789 500 28 0 0
ODI 0 12 21 457 788 141 5 0
CDI 0 1 7 174 1084 2349 988 1
VCDI 0 0 0 51 405 2640 8940 6327
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57529 13421 265 291 24 0 0 0
OW 0 1116 253 636 117 1 0 0
VODI 0 547 159 632 512 59 4 0
ODI 0 166 108 526 713 297 61 0
CDI 0 4 26 358 1124 2514 1353 1
VCDI 0 0 0 64 406 2287 8515 6327


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