Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-03-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-03-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4754 3020 57 86 0 0 0 0
OW 0 119 71 325 85 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 151 344 52 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 2 179 218 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 57 706 215 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 106 3252 11813 35618
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5295 2717 28 61 2 0 0 0
OW 0 334 94 60 49 1 0 0
VODI 0 28 53 285 82 24 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 87 229 60 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 212 267 75 6
VCDI 0 0 0 17 364 2361 11090 37332
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5529 2909 31 35 0 0 0 0
OW 0 204 138 147 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 15 238 120 7 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 42 175 68 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 171 317 85 3
VCDI 0 0 0 0 58 2018 12578 36315
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5422 2857 25 10 0 0 0 0
OW 0 265 97 155 16 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 41 243 134 16 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 91 165 79 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 248 504 235 6
VCDI 0 0 0 0 54 1489 7858 41191
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5422 2865 36 20 0 0 0 0
OW 0 253 80 147 30 0 0 0
VODI 0 11 47 220 107 23 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 112 173 69 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 238 575 243 9
VCDI 0 0 0 0 69 1421 7852 41188

Date: 2024-03-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4910 2954 45 15 0 0 0 0
OW 0 130 148 284 29 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 6 311 188 23 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 12 323 147 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 68 615 271 5
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1540 8694 40505
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4910 2929 75 37 1 0 0 0
OW 0 155 111 272 36 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 13 299 165 29 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 14 326 137 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 80 646 236 5
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1513 8732 40505

Date: 2024-03-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4616 2907 19 7 0 0 0 0
OW 0 186 157 99 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 5 422 78 8 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 37 456 44 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 138 593 37 10
VCDI 0 0 0 0 50 2104 11731 37516
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4616 2869 48 9 3 0 0 0
OW 0 219 121 264 35 12 0 0
VODI 0 5 12 265 261 25 3 0
ODI 0 0 0 27 298 126 15 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 86 494 195 22
VCDI 0 0 0 0 47 2092 11558 37504

Date: 2024-03-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4277 2829 14 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 339 88 87 20 2 0 0
VODI 0 7 37 412 70 14 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 43 467 47 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 235 568 113 31
VCDI 0 0 0 0 143 2192 10937 38246
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4277 2867 28 33 1 0 0 0
OW 0 300 90 198 42 14 0 0
VODI 0 8 21 291 236 32 4 0
ODI 0 0 0 31 355 109 21 10
CDI 0 0 0 0 159 505 312 111
VCDI 0 0 0 0 142 2163 10715 38156

Date: 2024-03-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4143 2736 10 12 2 0 0 0
OW 0 413 82 63 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 39 66 357 86 7 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 113 459 61 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 235 583 116 27
VCDI 0 0 0 0 216 2092 8497 40796
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4143 2745 22 19 8 0 0 0
OW 0 397 80 118 36 10 0 0
VODI 0 44 49 326 155 26 1 0
ODI 0 2 7 71 422 114 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 172 542 446 74
VCDI 0 0 0 0 224 2051 8157 40749


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