Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-03-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-03-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63279 17453 248 378 24 0 0 0
OW 0 1419 261 834 270 3 0 0
VODI 0 521 252 835 702 154 0 0
ODI 0 165 79 649 966 387 0 0
CDI 0 188 80 582 1644 1979 561 2
VCDI 0 81 46 294 1424 9301 28731 60951
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63845 16683 312 352 17 0 0 0
OW 0 1485 306 651 204 21 0 0
VODI 0 478 215 1062 348 100 0 0
ODI 0 216 97 634 1031 175 8 0
CDI 0 177 98 717 1954 2097 458 10
VCDI 0 21 22 310 1285 8011 26887 64456
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63813 17367 277 310 29 0 0 0
OW 17 1336 506 682 88 0 0 0
VODI 0 263 197 1240 446 13 0 0
ODI 0 80 70 615 1226 207 2 0
CDI 0 30 37 459 2032 2696 539 13
VCDI 0 4 3 46 496 6654 25867 67083
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63839 17184 225 185 21 0 0 0
OW 29 1382 449 728 90 1 0 0
VODI 0 295 261 1179 498 45 0 0
ODI 0 111 83 648 1049 256 9 0
CDI 0 64 51 470 1817 3049 970 26
VCDI 0 1 4 74 730 4911 20190 73819
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63849 17165 262 198 22 0 0 0
OW 19 1378 393 720 97 1 0 0
VODI 0 319 281 1157 487 50 0 0
ODI 0 113 78 669 1041 243 9 0
CDI 0 62 57 477 1845 3126 1075 36
VCDI 0 0 2 63 713 4842 20085 73809

Date: 2024-03-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63299 16759 204 198 62 1 0 0
OW 0 1247 484 876 153 7 0 0
VODI 0 355 209 1228 681 60 0 0
ODI 0 93 77 637 1119 412 16 0
CDI 0 71 47 331 1403 3443 1634 9
VCDI 0 0 5 78 392 4578 20150 74425
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63299 16713 261 232 58 1 0 0
OW 0 1270 415 846 146 7 0 0
VODI 0 383 217 1228 663 70 0 0
ODI 0 91 78 622 1146 367 16 0
CDI 0 68 52 358 1447 3609 1681 12
VCDI 0 0 3 62 350 4447 20103 74422

Date: 2024-03-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62857 16901 212 183 32 0 0 0
OW 77 1324 652 636 58 0 0 0
VODI 2 69 119 1916 439 15 0 0
ODI 0 5 15 460 1900 179 4 0
CDI 0 0 5 82 1306 4289 195 12
VCDI 0 0 0 26 177 4351 23907 72338
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62936 16329 228 183 58 3 0 0
OW 0 1348 456 891 109 20 0 0
VODI 0 450 186 1274 756 63 8 0
ODI 0 144 82 575 1119 513 28 0
CDI 0 28 49 299 1557 3636 1579 22
VCDI 0 0 2 81 313 4599 22491 72328

Date: 2024-03-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62077 17012 270 215 3 0 0 0
OW 88 1404 517 837 63 2 0 0
VODI 0 119 198 1498 599 37 0 0
ODI 0 6 16 441 1541 253 12 0
CDI 0 0 2 174 1343 3287 805 64
VCDI 0 0 0 17 557 5201 26231 69854
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62165 16399 239 308 25 4 0 0
OW 0 1466 410 831 148 22 0 0
VODI 0 529 239 1043 821 99 4 0
ODI 0 141 91 629 1124 467 31 10
CDI 0 6 24 366 1390 3354 1650 122
VCDI 0 0 0 5 598 4834 25363 69786

Date: 2024-03-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61618 16770 323 358 13 0 0 0
OW 54 1521 355 886 136 0 0 0
VODI 0 285 307 1203 602 35 0 0
ODI 0 14 24 616 1274 202 6 0
CDI 0 1 7 202 1379 2956 1105 62
VCDI 0 0 0 51 660 5194 22164 74360
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61672 16258 298 343 35 0 0 0
OW 0 1533 335 844 155 11 0 0
VODI 0 626 232 1019 682 85 5 0
ODI 0 170 125 650 1158 411 71 0
CDI 0 4 26 396 1374 3073 1799 103
VCDI 0 0 0 64 660 4807 21400 74319


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