Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-02-29

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-02-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58597 13775 203 267 50 1 0 0
OW 45 1067 298 532 85 16 0 0
VODI 0 407 212 673 272 63 14 0
ODI 0 67 86 547 551 292 3 0
CDI 0 22 39 346 1184 1983 623 1
VCDI 0 0 6 176 885 3173 7290 6565
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58799 13568 224 292 26 3 0 0
OW 0 1187 214 458 90 15 0 0
VODI 0 567 170 511 347 57 0 0
ODI 0 159 123 568 474 246 5 0
CDI 0 22 52 565 1205 1782 433 0
VCDI 0 15 8 215 945 3260 7310 6501
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58353 14096 226 363 13 0 0 0
OW 18 997 314 687 210 0 0 0
VODI 0 162 74 792 526 48 0 0
ODI 0 33 25 374 818 281 1 0
CDI 0 36 8 229 1272 2337 742 13
VCDI 0 20 12 99 561 2444 7823 6409
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59023 13565 214 281 23 4 0 0
OW 2 1200 204 541 140 17 0 0
VODI 0 330 181 672 337 73 0 0
ODI 0 80 73 584 659 180 0 0
CDI 0 56 40 444 1573 1351 603 0
VCDI 0 42 14 191 934 3308 6483 6994
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59023 13654 216 272 28 4 0 0
OW 2 1116 196 565 132 17 0 0
VODI 0 324 180 671 368 95 0 0
ODI 0 78 75 551 641 175 0 0
CDI 0 59 46 454 1575 1311 601 2
VCDI 0 42 13 200 922 3331 6485 6992

Date: 2024-03-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59257 13326 201 254 15 0 0 0
OW 0 1206 221 435 141 1 0 0
VODI 0 357 227 702 302 60 0 0
ODI 0 106 82 598 752 112 0 0
CDI 0 72 64 483 1556 1505 238 0
VCDI 0 22 13 170 763 3499 9279 4397
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59257 13411 216 253 20 0 0 0
OW 0 1130 226 463 133 0 0 0
VODI 0 336 212 699 324 73 0 0
ODI 0 115 64 562 772 93 1 0
CDI 0 66 74 467 1497 1396 228 0
VCDI 0 31 16 198 783 3615 9288 4397

Date: 2024-03-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58146 14374 215 286 40 0 0 0
OW 17 1014 356 490 76 0 0 0
VODI 7 120 139 1156 261 9 0 0
ODI 0 36 45 513 1186 99 0 0
CDI 0 7 4 325 1709 2643 239 0
VCDI 0 0 0 12 237 3044 8512 5099
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58170 14002 262 327 13 0 0 0
OW 0 870 224 624 199 0 0 0
VODI 0 424 107 685 412 83 0 0
ODI 0 166 62 439 715 85 0 0
CDI 0 86 96 539 1479 1786 532 0
VCDI 0 3 8 168 691 3841 8219 5099

Date: 2024-03-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58343 14154 177 278 25 0 0 0
OW 36 1013 329 562 78 0 0 0
VODI 1 208 196 869 369 9 0 0
ODI 0 51 51 541 890 172 3 0
CDI 0 14 30 379 1545 2598 673 21
VCDI 0 0 0 22 275 2845 7942 5717
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58380 13638 246 381 46 0 0 0
OW 0 894 210 546 164 0 0 0
VODI 0 520 133 605 400 38 0 0
ODI 0 222 85 381 586 170 0 0
CDI 0 161 94 592 1416 1986 698 10
VCDI 0 5 15 146 570 3430 7920 5728

Date: 2024-03-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58694 13718 186 146 15 0 0 0
OW 0 1005 339 528 98 0 0 0
VODI 0 281 196 890 386 20 0 0
ODI 0 67 71 552 841 189 3 0
CDI 0 46 37 299 1424 2533 1049 0
VCDI 0 0 3 55 367 2787 7867 5724
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58694 13186 215 327 83 0 0 0
OW 0 975 252 445 147 1 0 0
VODI 0 540 157 656 386 34 0 0
ODI 0 249 90 402 587 215 3 0
CDI 0 153 96 505 1315 2093 607 0
VCDI 0 14 22 135 613 3186 8309 5724


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