Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-02-29

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-02-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64551 16479 238 313 54 1 0 0
OW 55 1522 409 684 123 16 0 0
VODI 3 542 276 915 390 76 14 0
ODI 2 108 96 722 815 360 6 0
CDI 0 59 44 413 1474 2360 692 6
VCDI 0 26 13 250 1524 6632 26746 65734
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64600 16423 246 339 31 3 0 0
OW 14 1600 340 574 145 26 0 0
VODI 9 690 231 794 448 84 3 0
ODI 4 215 132 676 702 329 12 0
CDI 0 106 77 600 1343 2341 793 0
VCDI 0 103 42 360 1419 7158 27091 64640
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63449 17466 369 599 32 0 0 0
OW 18 1304 405 918 309 5 0 0
VODI 0 245 81 996 807 80 0 0
ODI 0 104 28 409 974 467 2 0
CDI 0 116 47 362 1428 3054 885 27
VCDI 0 52 36 194 941 7095 26722 64717
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63769 16890 317 436 24 4 0 0
OW 2 1444 249 868 273 17 0 0
VODI 0 473 191 830 704 135 0 0
ODI 0 165 76 607 814 452 0 0
CDI 0 158 77 518 1645 1884 966 1
VCDI 0 89 35 329 1597 7660 28261 62783
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63769 16996 330 455 29 4 0 0
OW 2 1355 227 849 273 17 0 0
VODI 0 453 194 842 706 148 0 0
ODI 0 159 76 574 810 414 0 0
CDI 0 170 83 523 1647 1862 948 3
VCDI 0 86 35 345 1592 7707 28279 62781

Date: 2024-03-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64225 16522 266 321 15 0 0 0
OW 0 1493 338 684 187 1 0 0
VODI 0 508 245 991 534 77 0 0
ODI 0 212 91 637 1046 225 1 0
CDI 0 249 100 568 1795 2083 312 12
VCDI 0 47 50 336 1509 8766 26689 63608
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64225 16642 301 327 20 0 0 0
OW 0 1385 313 705 186 0 0 0
VODI 0 478 239 968 541 92 0 0
ODI 0 225 75 619 1049 174 3 0
CDI 0 237 100 540 1745 1981 335 12
VCDI 0 64 62 378 1545 8905 26664 63608

Date: 2024-03-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63578 17450 265 371 42 0 0 0
OW 17 1404 486 634 101 0 0 0
VODI 7 178 169 1485 436 12 0 0
ODI 0 61 55 597 1500 149 0 0
CDI 0 23 9 423 1994 3169 311 22
VCDI 0 2 0 22 539 6651 27847 64734
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63602 16904 309 445 44 0 0 0
OW 0 1240 287 665 266 5 0 0
VODI 0 584 169 916 506 104 0 0
ODI 0 228 92 576 895 126 3 3
CDI 0 140 113 695 1744 2086 639 26
VCDI 0 22 14 235 1157 7660 27516 64727

Date: 2024-03-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63928 17221 236 297 25 0 0 0
OW 36 1331 458 752 90 0 0 0
VODI 1 267 243 1096 516 17 0 0
ODI 0 86 69 660 1085 228 7 0
CDI 0 36 44 475 1841 2989 812 32
VCDI 0 4 1 61 573 5376 21584 72266
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63965 16355 301 477 78 1 0 0
OW 0 1268 248 616 219 13 1 0
VODI 0 828 210 696 489 62 10 0
ODI 0 274 144 577 703 227 24 0
CDI 0 203 110 684 1668 2246 869 36
VCDI 0 17 38 291 973 6061 21499 72262

Date: 2024-03-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63857 16760 224 172 15 0 0 0
OW 0 1319 494 748 132 0 0 0
VODI 0 340 227 1221 558 39 0 0
ODI 0 94 84 646 1155 299 9 0
CDI 0 63 47 371 1638 3180 1414 10
VCDI 0 0 5 80 519 4911 20745 73367
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63857 15941 257 396 85 0 0 0
OW 0 1408 303 532 215 3 0 0
VODI 0 751 281 876 536 85 2 0
ODI 0 292 99 665 796 375 40 1
CDI 0 169 113 543 1548 2564 755 22
VCDI 0 15 28 226 837 5402 21371 73354


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